NBA Breakdown from CheatSheetPros!
QUICK NEWS AND NOTES:
NBA is changing throughout the day so if you are new to NBA DFS then you need to be ready to make pivotal moves 30 minutes prior to lock. Just another reminder if you are new that was post this NBA CheatSheet every Thursday in our “Free” Facebook group for people to try out. (Link is at the bottom of article.) I post it in the morning and then update and post it again 60-90 minutes prior to lock.
It is difficult to project a low priced guy this early in the day. Most of the best value plays pop up inside that last hour prior to lock. I would suggest no matter what tools you are using that when finding a value play look at their FPPM (Fantasy Point Per Minute) production over the season and last 5 games. I see so many “value plays” that are chalky but the guy has a FPPM of 0.65 or 0.72 and they just don’t do anything. I prefer guys with a FPPM over 1.00 but at least over 0.90 at a minimum. Also, a GUARD/CENTER value play usually performs better than a random forward because they are more involved. That’s just my two cents.
PLAYERS WE LIKE TONIGHT:
JOSH RICHARDSON – Josh Richardson has averaged 34 minutes per game over the last 5 and he is our 5th highest value player in our custom projections on our NBA sheet. I don’t pay much attention to value players if they a projected for <20 minutes but Josh Richardson is averaging 30+ minutes per game and projected for the same. He is only 5400 on DK so we need around 27 DK points to his value. He is playing just shy of a 1.00 FPPM and playing 34-35 minutes. He has put up some massive games recently with 3 of the last 4 games going over 6x value and even pushed one over 8x value.
RICHAUN HOLMES – Another guy we need to consider who is priced at only 6400 on DK and has put up 38-41 DKPs in 3 straight games and all of those were over 6x on his current salary. SAC continues to play no defense and score a ton of points making them a fantasy friendly environment. He is a pretty safe 1.10 FPPM player and playing 30+ minutes so 5x is a good floor.
WILL BARTON – Priced at 5300 he has a solid floor of 5x and constantly pushing 6x value. He has hit 6x+ his current salary in 3 of the last 4 games. Even 30 minutes at a 0.90 FPPM is over 5x value. He has 34.5 and 35.8 over his last two games so he is pushing that 7x benchmark.
KYLE KUZMA – Kuzma is 6000 on DK and playing up from his 1.04 FPPM to a solid 1.16 FPPM. His last two games were 45.8 and 49.5 DKPs so anyone that can push 50 DKP and priced under 8K I’m all over, however, his price is only 6K so hard not to own a bunch of shares.
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Thanks for reading & good luck!