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Daily Fantasy Breakdown for Halloween Sunday!


NFL Daily Fantasy Breakdown from CheatSheetPros!


STACKING FOR GPPS:

The stacking concept is simple. Most GPP winning lineups will have a team QB and usually at least 2 pass catchers and one from the opposing team. So that is a good start for building your lineups. Find your QB + 2 pass catchers + 1 run back player from the other team and fill in from there.


STACKS WE LIKE FOR THIS WEEK:


DENVER STACK: BRIDGEWATER - JEUDY - SUTTON

  • WAS allowing 300.6 passing yards per game (32nd)

  • WAS ranks 22nd, 32nd and 27th vs. WR-1, WR-2 and WR-3 options.

  • WAS has a solid rush D allowing the 10th least amount of yards and ranks 8th in the NFL so passing will be the path to success for Denver.

  • WAS ranks 22nd vs. short passes and 25th vs. deep passes.

  • Stack cost is CHEAP giving you plenty of loaded lineups - in this one I like adding Kyle Pitts, my two favorite RBs and a solid "DEF".


BENGALS STACK - JOE BURROW - J'CHASE - TEE HIGGINS

  • Stack is affordable and Joe Burrow is coming off a 416 yard game with 3 touchdowns.

  • Joe Burrow has 3, 3, 2, 2, and 3 touchdowns the last 5 weeks.

  • Tee Higgins is coming off a 15 target game last week with a ton of air yards.

  • Ja'Marr Chase has a 37.1 and 30.9 in 2 of the last 3 weeks giving him a huge ceiling.

  • NYJ allowing the 25th most passing yards per game and 29.2 points per game which is a great team to attack.


BUFFALO BILLS - JOSH ALLEN - SANDERS - BEASLEY

  • We have BUF projected for 34-41 points this week so getting some shares isn't a bad idea.

  • Fading an expensive Diggs and taking the lower priced Sanders/Beasley will give you 2 pass catching options to pair with Allen at a reasonable cost.

  • Josh Allen is the most expensive QB at 8100 on DK but 4x is 32.4 points and he has put up 32.7, 39.5, 21 and 40 in his last 4 giving you a solid floor and 5x ceiling.


GPP ONLY - CONTRARIAN STACK - PATRIOTS

  • Mac Jones has been great completing 67%, 71%, 77% and 78% of his passes in the last 4 games. He doesn't throw much but when he does he finds the open guy and puts it on him, this is another Tom Brady Jr. in the making.

  • Damien Harris will be the path to success and running the ball but if you want to take something contrarian I don't mind a passing game stack because it's really cheap and has massive upside with low ownership.

  • Bourne (Q) is only $4500 and has 16, 15, 7 and 11 points the last 4 weeks giving you the best return for any Patriots wide out.

  • Jakobi Meyers has NOT caught a TD all year and they are trying hard to get him in the endzone.



PLAYERS WE LIKE THIS WEEK:


JALEN HURTS - I don't mind playing a naked Jalen hurts and by naked I mean playing him without having one of his pass catching options. He does so much on the ground that it's not necessary to stack. Our model has Philly 24-27 points and he is the most productive player on the team. He has 24.5, 26, 23.9, 31.2 and 25.5 DKP the last 5 weeks giving us a solid floor and close to a 5x ceiling.


KENNETH GAINWELL - Miles Sanders is Q this week Gainwell is only $5,000 on DK AND had 8 targets last week. Gainwell is the preferred option on DK since he is the pass catching back but on FD you might consider Boston Scott who should get half the workload and is really cheap.


D'ANDRE SWIFT - The last 3 weeks he has 4x, 2.5x and 3x value with a floor of 17.7 DKP and a high of 28.4. He is the clear RB-1 and has the majority of workload on a bad team. PHI allowing 133 rush yards per game (29th) along with a 73.1 TD% when in the red zone so DET just needs to convert! PHI ranks 30th on D-Line and 29th in runs of 5-10 yards.


JONATHAN TAYLOR - TEN allowing 4.5 yards per carry and the 25th rated rushing defense. JT has 22, 32, 35 and 23.4 DKP over the last 4 weeks giving you a 3x floor and 5x upside along with 100+ rushing yards in 3 of the last 4 games.


D. HENDERSON - He likely won't have a 4x or 5x GPP game with all the receiving options but can he get you 3x in your cash lineup? Yes! HOU allowing 4.7 yards per carry and our model has LAR with 27-34 points. Prior to the low game last week he had put up 24.7 and then right around 17 DKP the prior 3 weeks.


JAMES ROBINSON (Favorite Player) - 19, 25, 21 and 25 DKP the last 4 weeks giving you a solid floor. This week he is only 6600 on DK and 8200 on FD. SEA allowing 134.1 rushing yards per game (30th).


DAMIEN HARRIS (Favorite Player) - He is CHEAP at 6100 DK / 6900 FD and in a great matchup. LAC allowing 162.5 rushing yards per game (32nd) and also 5.4 yards per carry (32nd). One of the best matchups on our "RB Trenches" tool as LAC hold the 31st D-Line and 30th in allowing runs of 5-10 yards and even 28th in runs of 10+ yards!


DAVID JOHNSON (Favorite GPP Player) - His matchup is horrible against the Rams but he is only 4200 on DK and 5100 on FD. If you get 12.6 DKP you have your 3x value and last week he caught 5 of 6 balls for 27 yards and rushed 7 times for another 25 yards for 10.2 DKP. Now Mark Ingram is headed back to New Orleans and David Johnson should be atop the depth chart with the lionshare of touches. Like the GPP dart but not in cash lineups.


MICHAEL CARTER - Another cheap GPP dart throw that runs 4900 DK / 5700 FD. Michael Carter is coming on strong putting up 10.4 > 14.8 and 17.4 DKPs over the last 3 weeks getting a little better each week. He had 3 targets four weeks in a row and then suddenly last week he jumped out with 9 TARGETS and caught 8 balls out of nowhere. Hopefully they figured something out and they start utilizing him more in the passing game. He put up over 3x the last two weeks and 2x the week before.


DIONTAE JOHNSON - Great on PPR sites like DK where the catches alone can crush value. He has 13, 2, 13, 12 and 10 targets over the last 5 weeks and caught 9 balls in 3 of the last 4 putting up 71, 92 and 105 yards. Solid floor and big ceiling with 18.6, 15, 24 and 23 the last 4 weeks.


TARGET MONSTERS FROM LAST WEEK:

QUICK NOTES: Tee Higgins lead all players in targets last week with 15! Priced at only 5,200 on DK and 6,300 on FD he is someone to consider for large GPP fields. Calvin Ridley still priced low and getting a large volume of targets. Michael Carter is the biggest surprise after posting several <3 target games to jump out with 9 targets makes me ?!?!?!?. Kalif Raymond has 15 targets across the last two weeks and is dirt cheap. Kenneth Gainwell picks up an 8 target game and Miles Sanders is Q.


DEFENSE VS. POSITION CHART COMING INTO WEEK 8


MORE DVP DATA - Model projected yardages and ranks vs. WR-1, WR-2, TE and RB (pass catchers):



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Thanks for reading & good luck!

Haze