QUICK NEWS AND NOTES: (Prize Picks)
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Let’s dive in and find some plays!
MLB PRIZE PICKS AND PLAYER PROPS:
JOSE URQUIDY OVER 26 FANTASY POINTS
COL ranks 27th in K%, 17th in team batting average and dead last in wRC+ over the lat 14 days. Urquidy is coming off 34.6 and 35.0 prize points. Take over 26.
JOSE URQUIDY OVER 5 STRIKEOUTS
COL has a 27.4% K rate and Urquidy has 14 Ks in his last 11.2 innings. Over only way to go!
JAKOB JUNIS OVER 22.5 FANTASY POINTS
His last start was only 81 pitches and he put up 31 prize points with 6Ks. His start prior was only 58 pitches and he had 33 prize points with 6Ks. His swinging strike rate the last two starts was at 12% which is solid. Take over 22.5 fantasy points and over 4 strikeouts.
JAKOB JUNIS OVER 4 STRIKEOUTS <My favorite prop of the day!>
His last start was only 81 pitches and he put up 31 prize points with 6Ks. His start prior was only 58 pitches and he had 33 prize points with 6Ks. His swinging strike rate the last two starts was at 12% which is solid. Take over 22.5 fantasy points and over 4 strikeouts.
ZACH DAVIES UNDER 24 FANTASY POINTS
What jumps out at me is the WHIP allowed which was 2.50 last start and 6.67 the prior start. He has allowed 11 ER in his last 5.2 innings. ER are killer for prize pick points.
ZACH DAVIES UNDER 4 STRIKEOUTS
NYM have the 8th lowest K% over the last 14 days and his last two starts his swinging strike rate was under 7%. He has 1, 2 and 5 Ks in his 3 starts this year. Go under!
HONORABLE MENTIONS THAT DIDN’T MAKE MY CUT:
KLUBER OVER 5 STRIKEOUTS – Only 4, 3 and 5 L3 starts but he also only threw 74, 62 and 77 pitches. If he can get upper 80s pitch count with his solid swinging strike rate of 16%, 13% and 14% then 5 should be a floor for him. Touch matchup vs. ATL so slid down my ranks into the honorable mentions.
IAN ANDERSON OVER 28 FANTASY POINTS
NYY hardly the team they once were ranking dead last in team batting avg over last 14th and 19th in K%. Anderson has 30, 29 and 35 prize point starts L3, leaning over here.
TREVOR ROGERS OVER 34.5 FANTASY POINTS
BAL still isn’t good and Rogers is a -160 favorite. He has 7, 10 and 6 Ks his last 3 starts with 40, 48 and 28 prize point performances. Solid whip numbers and swinging strike rate numbers are nice at 15%, 22% and 19% last 3 starts. BAL also holds a 25.9% K rate last 14 days.
TREVOR ROGERS OVER 7 STRIKEOUTS
BAL still isn’t good and Rogers is a -160 favorite. He has 7, 10 and 6 Ks his last 3 starts with 40, 48 and 28 prize point performances. Solid whip numbers and swinging strike rate numbers are nice at 15%, 22% and 19% last 3 starts. BAL also holds a 25.9% K rate last 14 days.
ANTHONY DESCLAFANI OVER 27 FANTASY POINTS
35, 42 and 27 points to start the year. Tossing at least 6 innings in his last two and only allowed 1 ER across those two starts. PHI has a 27% K rate L14 days. No a huge strikeout guy but enough to hit the over if he don’t give up a couple ERs.
NBA PRIZE PICKS & PLAYER PROPS:
STEPHEN CURRY OVER 6 3PM
He has made 10, 11, 4, 11, 10 and 8 3P shots over last 6. Roll with him!
BRADLEY BEAL OVER 2 3PM
His last 5 games he is ¾, 4/6, 0/9, 2/8 and 2/5. 2 is a push and that seems to be a floor most nights as he is a high percentage 3P shooter.
BRADLEY BEAL UNDER 4 REBOUNDS
Leaning under 4 here and 4 is a push. He hasn’t had 5 boards in his last 8 games. His stat line last 8 looks like this: 1, 3, 4, 4, 3, 3, 1 and 3. GSW don’t give up REB to guards they give up a ton to PF/C spots.
COLLIN SEXTON OVER 3 REBOUNDS
Recent games he has 7, 5, 4, 0, 3, 3, 3, 3, 3 and 6. So 3 is a push not a loss and then several winners in there. I see 9 of last 10 games push or better. Take a shot!
SADDIQ BEY OVER 4 REBOUNDS
Love this one! He has 5, 7, 7, 5, 1, 6 and 6 over his last 7. So ending a game with 3 or less doesn’t seem likely.
DARIUS GARLAND OVER 31 FANTASY POINTS
Only 31 prize points? He has been over that number in 7 of the last 8 games. Anything that is 7-1 for an “over” I’m on!
DERRICK ROSE OVER 25 FANTASY POINTS
Love these lower lines that you can hit early. He has 4 straight overs the last 4 games and even hit 38.1 prize points the game before last. He is a contributor in the blocks/steals area and those are HUGE in prize points!
HONORABLE MENTIONS:
PASCAL SIAKAM OVER 38 FANTASY POINTS
CJ MCCOLLUM OVER 35 FANTASY POINTS
ANTHONY EDWARDS OVER 36 FANTASY POINTS
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Thanks for reading & good luck!
Haze