QUICK NEWS & NOTES:
There are several plays that I like this week as you can tell from the 10 picked for this article. I still have 4 other games to dive into and find some more plays! I play a lot of SGP's on Draftkings but I use the PrizePick lines as that is what is available to the vast majority of players and usually the same line for a prop bet at your local sportsbook! My personal favorite card is the TOP 4 plays (Meyers, Brown, Hall & Rhamondre) with either Cobb or Pickens!
JAKOBI MEYERS - OVER 50.5 RECEIVING YARDS
Love, Love, Love this prop! He was in a plus matchup in our DFS WR/CB write up article and then I found out Denzel Ward was ruled out for the Browns so I shot him up my board! His last 2 games were in Week 2 and last week and he put up 7-111-1 line last week and 9-95 line the prior week.
MARQUISE BROWN OVER 67.5 RECEIVING YARDS
Seattle has the 31st rated pass defense and allowing the 27th most passing yards per game. Since Week 2 Brown has 11, 17, 11 and 10 targets putting up 68, 140, 88 and 78 yards. The last 3 games were against higher end secondaries in the Eagles, Panthers and Rams and he cleared the 67.5 in all of those so expect the same this week in a softer matchup with a total over 50!
BREECE HALL OVER 12.5 RUSHING ATT -OR- OVER 82.5 RUSH+REC YARDS
Each week Hall has increased his carries with 17 and 18 over the last two weeks yet this number sits at an average with his earlier weeks built in so I like the over. Last week he exploded and had just shy of 200 total yards of offense with 97 rushing yards on 18 attempts and 2 grabs for 100 yards.
RHAMONDRE STEVENSON OVER PROPS
At this time of writing this article they only have up his fantasy points and over 0.5 touchdowns. I'm REALLY wanting to get some RUSHING props for him this week as he is a top 5 option. Cleveland allowing 5.3 rushing yards per attempt (30th) and 181.3 rushing yards per game (31st). Last week he got 25 carries, yes 25, that is a massive number and he smashed it for 161 yards!
JUSTIN JEFFERSON OVER 85.5 RECEIVING YARDS
Nothing amazing here just a stud WR in a good matchup that should eat. When JJ is involved he goes WAY OVER this number as you can see with the 154 and 147 yards the last 2 games and the 184 yard game to start the season.
DK METCALF OVER 70.5 RECEIVING YARDS
Geno Smith has been amazing this year leading the Seahawks to one of the top rated passing offenses and averaging over 30 PPG. Lockett or Metcalf will go off in this matchup and I'm leaning on DK Metcalf with his production over the last two weeks of 88 and 149 yards! In our WR/CB DFS article we wrote up Metcalf as he has a projected 22 snaps against Marco Wilson which is one of the lowest rated corners and Lockett only had a projected 5 snaps.
LAMAR JACKSON OVER 57.5 RUSHING YARDS
Lamar is going to get paid in the off season and he is crushing it right now! His ability to RUN is killing defenses. Cincy played him really well and kept him contained most of the game but he still finished with 58 rushing yards. In the last 4 weeks he has put up 58, 73, 107 and 119 while rushing 12, 11, 11 and 9 times. He averages almost 7.0 yards per carry so with 9-10 rushing attempts he should slide over this number and has the ability to go way over!
RANDALL COBB OVER 38.5 RECEIVING YARDS
Cobb has a massive matchup boost this week on our WR/CB breakdown going up against Michael Carter for a projected 32 snaps. Cobb runs 82% of his routes from the slot and Michael Carter covers the slot 82% of the time. I would typically worry about his production in this Packers offense but last week he exploded for 7 grabs and 99 yards on 13 targets. Aaron Rodgers doesn't have many WRs he can trust so Cobb and Lazard should be safety blankets for him and Cobb has the plus WR/CB matchup.
GEORGE PICKENS OVER 47.5 RECEIVING YARDS
Love Love Love some Pickens! The best thing about this Steelers team is they can't run, hardly ever hold a lead and they are always playing from behind. Steelers rank 29th in rushing yards per game at 88.6 which is horrible for my season long Najee shares but it's great for the wide outs. Tampa Bay has a stout defense but once they are up several scores they will lay off and let the Steelers move the ball. Kenny Pickett had a tough matchup against a Buffalo defense last week but still managed to throw for 327 yards in the blowout. He also loves throwing to George Pickens as you can see from his last two games where he put up a 6/102 and 6/83 line on 8 targets in each game. 47.5 feels so low he could pick that up in the last 2 drives of the game, get that OVER!
TOM BRADY OVER 275.5 PASSING YARDS
Josh Allen just threw for 424 yards and 4 touchdowns against PIT so not worried about them suddenly shutting down Tom Brady. Brady has 351 and 371 passing yards in the last two games so looking at 276 or more feels reasonable. If you are playing a Brady over I would include a Godwin or Evans over with him.
HONORABLE MENTIONS: Raheem Mostert over 73.5 rushing yards, Cooper Kupp over 95.5 receiving yards, Stefon Diggs over 85.5 receiving yards & Travis Kelce over 16.5 Fantasy Points.