MLB Sports Betting Picks, Prize Picks/Prop Bets & DFS Stacks from CheatSheetPros!
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We are going to focus on 3 DFS Stacks, 3 Prize Picks and/or Prop Bets and 3 Sports Picks! If you sign up at Prizepicks.com please use our referral code – 014219 for a free month of our services and our cheatsheets!
DAILY FANTAY TEAM STACKS:
SAN FRAN GIANTS vs. GERMAN MARQUEZ (29TH BULLPEN)
This is a GPP stack for a few reasons. 1) It is dirt cheap! 2) The bullpen behind Marquez is very attackable. 3) Vegas implied run total is only 3.8 so that should keep ownership down. German Marquez has been great this year with a 3.45 ERA in 28.2 innings. However, the BVP data is 117 team Abs and these Giants are batting a whopping .359 off him with 5 HRs so why not take a shot. Yes, I understand some of that data is coming from Colorado but it’s worth a shot. Last year outside of Coors Marquez allowed a 1.50 whip and .296 batting average. This stack is going to run anywhere from 2920 -3940 average per hitter. I mean the highest 5 guys are under an average of 4K per. Take a shot here!
CHISOX vs. CASEY MIZE (30TH BULLPEN)
In 20.2 IP this year Mize is allowing a .284 batting average, 1.45 whip and the dead last bullpen behind him. Mize only tossed 28.1 IP last year but the 10 IP that were on the road he was a much worse pitcher so just take that with a grain of salt. Stack will run 4500-5000 average per hitter so it’s not cheap but the upside is there for 6-8+ runs.
ATLANTA BRAVES vs. KYLE HENDRICKS (19TH BULLPEN)
Hendricks throws a soft 86.3 mph heater and ATL is the 2nd best team at hitting the fastball. In 67 team Abs vs. Hendricks they are hitting .343 with 5 HRs. So far this year in 19 innings he has a 5.68 ERA, 1.53 whip and allowing a .284 batting average to opponents. Did I also mention the wind is blowing out at 8mph? Worth a shot!
PLAYER PROPS AND/OR PRIZE PICKS:
CARLOS RODON OVER 7.0 Ks
Love this! Now Prize Picks has 7Ks and my sportsbook has 7.5 but it’s +113 odds so I jumped on both of them. DET is the highest strikeout team in the league at 29.9% over the last 14 days. Now add in the fact that when facing LHP they jump to 34.2% so that is even higher! Rodon has been known to “blow up” and have control issues but they are only hitting 6 for 34 off him for a .176 average with a 26% K rate. His velo is up this year as his fastball is hitting 95 mph and DET ranks 21st vs. the FB, they also rank 21st vs. his secondary pitch in the slider and 17th vs. the change up.
DEVONTE GRAHAM OVER 3.5 3P MADE SHOTS
I love this at 3.0 but 3.5 I’m still taking a shot. He was 6 for 13 last night from beyond the arc and 6 for 11 the night prior. He has 13, 11, 13 and 11 3P attempts over the last 4 games. Rodon is my favorite over but I’ll mix this one into some parlays and prize lines.
DARIUS GARLAND OVER 8.0 ASSIST
ORL is allowing 12 assist per game to the PG position over the last 10 games. Sexton is out again tonight so Garland has his minutes locked in and he also put up 10 and 9 AST in the last two games.
SPORTS BETTING PICKS:
PLAY #1 - KANSAS CITY ROYALS (-115) OVER PIT
The surprising Royals have one of the lowest K rates in the MLB right now and they get to tee off against Mitch Keller who is sitting with a 7.16 ERA, 1.78 whip and allowing a .309 average in 16.1 IP this year. Minor should be able to at least hold the Pirates in check as he has a .232 allowed batting average. He is dominant vs. RHH but struggles vs. LHH and it appears the only LHH in the PIT line are Adam Frazier hitting leadoff and then Reynolds and Difo who is ice cold right now. So only 2 guys I’m worried about sparking a run.
PLAY #2 - NHL (VEGAS) money line parlayed with MLB: CHW (Rodon-Action)
PLAY #3 – Taking a long shot parlay here as not much I like with low odds.
PADRES + WHITE SOX + BRAVES + NHL: LA
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