NBA Plays & Stats (December 2nd) from CheatSheetPros!
QUICK NEWS AND NOTES:
Keep in mind that NBA is the fastest changing DFS sport. There is breaking news 10 minutes before lock, after lock and it’s just a string of crazy moves. For multiple lineups in NBA you need to have access to a computer 30 minutes before lock and be ready to move with breaking news! Any plays that are great right now can change before lock so be watching, be part of chat group or some kind of notification system.
PLAYERS TO CONSIDER:
DENNIS SMITH JR (3200) – Frank Ntilikina is doubtful tonight so there is a good chance DSJ gets moved into the starting lineup. He is coming off 38 minutes where he put up 33 DK points and that is around a 10x return on this micro salary. Our cheatsheet has him projected at 30 minutes tonight. MIL is giving up 50.5 DK points to the PG position over the last two weeks so he is also in a great spot! Watch for the Ntilikina news!
KY BOWMAN (5100) – Green is already ruled out for Monday so we don’t have to worry about that Q tag going into lock. Bowman in his last 5 games has put up 21, 25, 13, 44 and 42 DK points giving us a wide range of outcomes. He has played 28+ minutes in all of those games. The big thing to focus on is the 21, 25 and 13 point games had Green on the floor and the 44 and 42 were when Green was OUT. If he can replicate those that is 8x value. Bowman is also in a good spot as ATL is giving up 54.5 DK points to the PG position over the last two weeks PLUS 248.3 fantasy points per game which is the highest of any team on the slate.
ZACH LAVINE (7900) – I’m going to focus on my purple tier plays from the cheatsheet. These are plays in the 6500-8000 range with high upside. LaVine is someone that could easily exceed his projection today. He is projected at 36.9 DK points which is only 4.7x value. However in his last 4 games he has put up 48, 58, 30 and 60 DK points! He has also played 38, 36, 30 and 35 minutes. If you take out the 30 point game the other 3 games he has attempted 24, 24 and 28 FG attempts. That is crazy! SAC is giving up the 4th most points to the SF position on the slate so he is in a decent spot.
DARIO SARIC (5900) – He has been on fire as of late and in a great spot tonight. I’ve been testing some custom projections for NBA and they have been crushing the majority of the time but I’m still back testing them. When I ran them for tonight Saric is projected at 4.7x but my projections have him at 5.7x value. He was put up 27, 45 and 48 DK points in his last 3. CHA is giving up a whopping 56.3 points to the PF spot which is the highest of any team on the slate. I think 30 points and 5x is a floor for him.
BUDDY HIELD (7100) – He is coming off 41, 35 and 56 DK points. We only need 35.5 points for value. He has taken 20, 24 and 26 FG attempts in the last 3 games. This game has a lower total compared to other spots on the slate but with Hield projected to play 33 minutes and his usage has been at 27.8 I have to put him in my player pool tonight!
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Thank you for reading and good luck!
Haze