College Football Betting Picks from CheatSheetPros!
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WEEK 10 GAMES WE LIKE:
SMU/MEMPHIS OVER 70.5
7th & 25th ranked offenses putting up 506 and 445 yards per game facing the 88th and 93rd defenses each allowing 418+ yards per game.
Projected YPP numbers are way better than league average meaning these two teams are highly efficient at scoring points.
APP STATE (-21) > Arkansas State
PFF has this around -31.5 and we have our algo line at -21 so laying the points in this spot.
Projected score 44-21 with App State winning by 23.
Arkansas State (130th DEF) won't keep App State (21st OFF) from scoring a ton of points.
260+ yard edge projected for App State and they thrive in these spots against bad teams. Check 59-28 vs. LA Monroe and 45-16 vs. GA State. LAY IT!
HOUSTON (-13) > SOUTH FLORIDA
YPP (Yard per point) huge differences here with 10.3 vs. 17.1 giving a big edge to Houston and the efficiency of that offense.
South Florida is 100th in offensive yards per game against the 14th defense.
Projected model has 36-19 Houston (winning by 18) so laying the -13.
Plus/Minus has Houston winning average score 36-23 and USF losing 20-34.
BAYLOR (-6.5) > TCU
PFF has this -14.5, we have it -7 and our projected score is 35-24 giving Baylor an 11 point win with a line of only -6.5 gotta lay it in this spot.
TCU has the 119th rated defensive giving up 487 yards per game.
Baylor 5-1 ATS last 6 games.
TCU 1-6 ATS on the season.
TCU at home is only 39% ATS since 2016.
WISCONSIN (-13) >RUTGERS
Wisconson 3-1 ATS last 4 while Rutgers 1-3 ATS last 4.
PFF has this at -22 and we have it at -17 and the Vegas spread is only -13 so laying the points with the #1 defensive team allowing only 49.6 rushing yards per game and 165 passing yards per game.
Rutgers 115th rated "O" will struggle vs. this Wisconsin "D". Lay it!
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