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MLB GPP Pitching options (7/30) from CheatSheetPros!


MLB Plays & Stats from CheatSheetPros!

RECAP: We were on fire yesterday! We posted in our late afternoon update on the FB group and Reddit that MIA was a great GPP stack after seeing the ownership on the Colo game and pricing. MIA was dirt cheap and they exploded! We also posted that CIN was the best GPP & Cash game stack as they were cheap and had the same upside and they also exploded for the two highest scoring teams on the slate!


PITCHERS TO CONSIDER:

With a huge 14 game slate on tap I’m going to focus more on GPP pitchers that we can use tonight and less $10k+ studs. I don’t mind the higher guys but they aren’t likely to give you 4x value and we need to find that value on a huge slate.


DAVID PRICE (9000) – Priced down a little from his L4 game average he gets TB on tap tonight in Boston. He just faced them on the road and put up 19.9 DK points going 6.0 innings with 3 ER and 8 Ks. Outside of 1 bad start in his last 6 they have all been 18-27 DK points giving you a good floor on a winning team. He also has great BVP history with 121 Abs they are only hitting .165 off him with a whopping (highest I’ve ever seen) 49% strikeout rate!


MIKE LEAKE (8600) – His last 4 starts he has the widest range. He has a -7.9 points @ LAA and then followed that up with a 40 point outing vs. LAA at home. His other two were 22 and 28 DK points. He just faced TEX for under a 3x start but now gets to face them on the road which is always a concern. His road ERA is a 5.60 vs. 3.01 at home and the BVP is concerning with them hitting .365 off him through 200 team Abs. GPP Only and hope his recent performance will break the number trend. The 40 DK point game would be massive value.


REYNALDO LOPEZ (7700) – Started off hot, then shit the bed and now turning it back on again. He has 3 straight starts of 25, 28 and 30 DK points getting better each time out. He has only allow 2 ER, 2 ER and 0 ER in those 3 and put up 7 – 8 and 10Ks! Lopez has a great matchup facing NYM who are hitting .226 as a team over the last week. Season long stats are not there after his rough run but we are banking on his last 3 games being his breakdown for the 2nd half of the year, love the pitcher, the price and the matchup!


ADAM WAINWRIGHT (7500) – He should be low owned tonight as people will see his 8.4% swinging strike rate and 4.63 ERA and facing a Cubs team and look on down the list. However, we like him as his Home ERA is 2.33 vs. 7.16 on the road, wOBA also drops from .367 down to .294 and batting average allowed drops from .299 down to .235. Much better pitcher at home. His last 2 starts were -4 and 11 DK points both on the road giving up 4 and 7 ER. However his last 4 home starts were 30, 24, 14 and 33 DK points. The 33 DK point start was also vs. CHC so we have upside here for GPP and a good floor for cash games!


TYLER BEEDE (7100) – His last 4 starts hehas put up 12, 25, 22 and 24 DK points. So 3 of those 4 he has put up a solid 3x value! We like SFG for the win so that is a good start to a floor for him and he has the #1 bullpen since July 1st behind him. He is allowing a .258 opponent batting average. GPP only.


JOE MUSGROVE (5100) – How do you get huge returns for GPPs? Pick dirt cheap pitchers where the “Win” is almost 1x value. His last two starts were 0 DK points and then 30.5 DK points. He is a great boom or bust option. Both of those starts were at home so not splits to see. His prior 3 starts were 11, 14 and 14 DK points which doesn’t look like much but that is 2x, 3x and 3x value on his micro salary. He has a tough matchup facing a CIN team that just destroyed PIT and hitting .298 over the last week but the BVP is good as they are only hitting .256 off him through 39 team Abs. He has a solid 12.0% swinging strike rate and a decent 4.08 ERA / .302 wOBA and .245 allowed batting average. You can pair him with any stud pitcher due to the cost.


STACKS & PITCHERS TO TARGET AGAINST:

*Will be back this afternoon for some stacks!


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