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MLB Sports Betting Pick for Saturday!


While everyone is focused on College Football today we get some great value on the MLB slate. Today we have the best pitcher on the slate with a red hot team facing a horrible team and the worst pitcher on the slate. This is a spot we can take advantage of for sports betting or same game parlays.

Ken Waldichuk – He only has 17.2 innings but during that span he has allowed a 1.58 whip and giving up a .284 batting average. The bullpen behind him ranks 24th in our custom rankings so not worried about a shut down type of game when he gets pulled. His last start was @HOU so it was a tough matchup but only lasted 2.2 innings and allowed 5 hits and 5 ER and the prior start @TEX he went the full 5 innings but gave up 8 hits and another 5 ER.

Jacob DeGrom – Strikeout prop anyone? His recent starts look like this 13, 10, 8, 9, 9, 9, 10 and 12 strikeouts. Same game parlays on DK you can get 8+ (-350) which feels like a floor or hit an average 9+ (-160), 10+ (+110) or go for the gusto at 11+ (+240).


DeGrom 8+ Strikeouts

NYM over 2.5 runs

Oakland NFRI (No run first inning)

3 LEGS PAYS (-115) *Perfect for straight bet.

Wanna go for a big payday? Maybe you have a free bet and want to maximize value? Here we go!

DeGrom 11+ strikeouts (+240 leg really cranks up the payout)

NYM over 3.5 runs

NYM/NYM (First 5 / Moneyline)

3 LEGS pays +575

You can add the NRFI for Oakland only but it’s (-650) and I don’t like laying that much juice on a leg when DeGrom has allowed 6 ER across his last 2 starts which combine for 11.0 innings. I left it on the first wager but the higher risk I removed it. If you don’t like the 11 strikeouts in the higher risk parlay I recommend going to 9+ or 10+. DeGrom has only hit 11+ 3 times this year but he is in a good spot facing an OAK team that has a 27% strikeout rate over the last two weeks. DeGrom has hit 10+ in each of the last 2 starts and 4 times this season and if you want to go 9+ he has hit that number in 7 of the last 8 starts.





PAYOUT IS +220 (We only need to win this 31% of the time to be a profitable wager!)


Here we see OAK has a 27% strikeout rate over the last couple weeks which is massive!

When betting NYM team total OVER I want to see how many runs that have been scoring per game over the last 8-12. Here we can see they were shutout against MILW but every other game they have scored 9, 7, 7, 7 and 5 so taking over 2.5 or over 3.5 feels pretty safe against a horrible pitcher and bad bullpen. I don't mind a small bet on over 5.5 if you want to get crazy!


Framber Valdez has 7, 8, 11, 8 and 8 strikeouts last 5 starts.

Bubic has allowed 7, 10, 6, 5, 9, 8 and 10 hits in recent starts.

Fedde has allowed 7, 5, 4, 9, 3, 7, 6 and 8 hits in recent starts.

Hutchison just faced CHW in his last start and got crushed lasting only 4.2 innings giving up 7 hits and 6 ER. Has also allowed 7, 9, 5 and 6 hits in last 4 starts.

Chad Kuhl (in Colorado) has allowed 8, 6, 6, 7 and 7 hits.

Good Luck!

On the website we posted our College Football Best Bets!


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