NFL Monday Night Showdown Plays from CheatSheetPros!
QUICK NEWS AND NOTES:
5 of our top 6 GPP Algo plays went off last week and that included Tyreek Hill who went crazy on the Bucs!
VEGAS LOOK:
Lined opened at Seattle -6 and now -6.5 while the total opened at 52 and has moved all the way down to 48.5.
WEATHER OUTLOOK:
Around 62 degrees with 10-12 mph wind isn’t terrible so weather shouldn’t be a huge factor tonight.
MATCHUP HISTORY:
Seattle has dominated Philly going 8-2 over the last 10 matchups and they are also 8-2 ATS incase you are betting on the game. Seattle has won with an average score of 24-15 so basically by around 9 points per game. The last 3 matchups Seattle is 3-0 SU and 3-0 ATS with an average score of 19-9 and all 3 games staying UNDER the total.
STRATEGY & PLAYS:
Russell Wilson + DK Metcalf -OR- Tyler Lockett (not both, but if you can fit both that should be contrarian enough to be different from the field).
Wilson is usually the highest scoring player on the slate with one of his two WRs and it rotates between DK and Lockett. In Week 5 DK put up 27.3 and Lockett 8.4, Week 6 (bye) and then in Week 7 we saw Lockett put up 56 DKP and DK only 4.3, in Week 8 we saw DK put up 43.1 and Lockett only 7.3, in Week 9 we say DK put up 26.8 and Lockett only 8, Week 10 they both fizzled out and then in Week 11 Lockett put up 21.7 and DK 13.6. If Wilson goes off you need at least 1 of his STUD WRs – Lockett or D.K. Metcalf.
Chris Carson – When Carson is healthy he is the lead back. In Weeks 2-5 he took an average of 18 touches per game and ALL THE RED ZONE CARRIES. Both lines are beat up and that is a concern but he should get some passing down work and his price tag is fair for this matchup. FADE – Carlos Hyde / DeeJay Dallas as Hyde will be back to a handful of carries and his price tag is extremely high for this showdown slate and Dallas will go back to mainly special team work. Philly is also 30th vs. pass catching RBs.
Miles Sanders – Seattle has the 8th best rushing “D” right now so I don’t see Miles pulling his best Nick Chubb or Derrick Henry impression. However, he is a great pass catching RB and Seattle is 24th vs. pass catching RBs and on a site like DK that is full PPR scoring that is great for Sanders.
David Moore – He is only 4600 on the DK showdown slate and we need some cheap guys. Moore is great to pair with DK or Lockett because it gives you 2 of the SEA pass catchers and he has great upside. Since Week 4 he has a 18.5 and 17.1 DKP game. Risk reward for GPP.
Jalen Reagor – Since his return in Week 8 he has been top two in fantasy points for WR/TEs on this poor Philly team. In Week 8 he put up 13.2 behind Fulgham and his 19.8, Week 9 (bye week), Week 10 it was Reagor/Ward both with around 9 DKP and Week 11 he had 9.2 right behind Goedert at 18.7. Reagor is eating into the Fulgham breakdown and taking away some of his targets but both are in play I just don’t love either one.
Dallas Goedert – Coming off 18.7 DKP last week and Ertz won’t be activated for the game tonight he is definitely in play as one of the top Philly targets.
Will Dissly / Jacob Hollister – With Greg Olsen going to the IR both of these guy are in play for Seattle and Philly ranks 27th vs. the TE. Both are punt plays for GPP so mix and match either of them.
OTHER PUNT PLAYS:
Everyone is always trying to find that cheap punt piece for their lineups. Either the TEAM DEF, KICKER or a guy priced at an crazy $600 price tag. I like to look at the DKP scored over the last 3-5 games and see how it is compared to value for their price and here is some guys and their recent games.
PHILLY DEF (2800) – 8, 3, 20 and 9 points
SEATTLE DEF (3800) – 5, 5, 3 and 7 points
ELLIOT (K) (4000) – 6, 4, 1 and 4 points.
MYERS (K) (4200) – 9, 2, 12, 8 and 12 points.
I’m leaning Jason Myers (4200) for the CASH or GPP. If he can give us 8-12 points that is 2x-3x his current salary with a nice floor since we have Seattle scoring 28+ points in this contest. If you want to be really contrarian and fade the chalk plays of Seattle then pair Miles Sanders with PHILLY DEF as they have great pass rushing and Seattle his missing a few O-Line pieces tonight. PHILLY DEF also has a ceiling game of 20 points which is an amazing 7x value! Philly in DLine / Allowing runs of 5-10 yards and allowing runs of 10+ yards they rank 4th, 4th and 1st.
FAVORITE CAPTAIN PLAYS:
JALEN REAGOR – He is 13th in pricing and he will free up tons of salary to fit a Seattle rampage in your FLEX spots.
DALLAS GOEDERT – He is 10th in pricing and he has 30 DKP upside and coming off that 18.7 DKP game last week I’m hoping we are trending in the right direction.
DAVID MOORE – He is only $4,600 (Flex) / $6,900 (Capt) so putting him in a CAPTAIN spot give you plenty of salary to play with.
TYLER LOCKETT – He is $1,800 cheaper than D.K. Metcalf in the FLEX spot and if you move that over to the Captain spot he is $2,700 cheaper with the same ceiling.
Thanks for reading,
Haze