NBA Plays & Stats from CheatSheetPros!
RECAP: Last night 4 of our top 6 gpp algo plays met or exceeded value. The early sheet we posted on 2/20 had Boban as the top gpp algo play and he went for 10.9x value! Al Horford was in our writeup with a terrific matchup and also came in as our #5 algo play and went for 10.4x value. Needless to say last night on DK was a good night for me. I was using our excel opto and used the “Combo Proj” and did a max salary of $9,999 and it spit out: Lillard – Steph Curry – Ben Simmons – Kuzma – Al Horford with Boban and a few others. Ended up with 319.25 points for 7th place in the single entry daily and 192nd place in the $8k elbow.
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PLAYERS TO CONSIDER FOR YOUR LINEUPS!
TOP GPP Algo Play & Top Punt Play:
Avery Bradley - $3,800
He comes in as our top gpp algo play on the early sheet. He is coming off 6.8x value over his last 4 games and projected to play another 34 minutes tonight. Vegas total of 106 with a +2 Vegas spread predicts it to be a close game. 40% of his games over the last 21 days have been at 6x value or more. Remember we are looking for someone with a last 10 ceiling game of at least 7.0x value on his current salary and AB has a 13.7x last 10 game ceiling on his current salary. He also slides in as the top punt play on the sheet. I’m curious to see if he stays at the top of the sheet for the late afternoon update!
STUDS:
Paul George $10,800 / Russell Westbrook $11,500
Both of these guys are smashing at the same time. If you are going to pay up for someone either one of these guys has to be in consideration. Westy has a 5.99x value over his lat 4 games and at the same time PG has a 5.91x value over his last 4 games. Both players are averaging over 61.5 DK points per game over their last 6 games. This game also has the highest “projected pace” for the night if you look at season long numbers and they are the #2 projected pace game if you are looking for last 3 game numbers! Both players even meet our threshold of 7.0x value for last 10 game ceiling as Westy has a 7.7x value and PG an 8.2x value.
LOW OWNED GPP Play:
Kadeem Allen- $4,800
He is projected at only around 3x value on most major sites so he is going to be a boom or bust player for GPPs. In his last 4 games he played 24, 23, 32 and 27 minutes putting up 7x, 6.6x, 10.7x and 9.4x value ratios. He is projected to play 20-22 minutes tonight and if he exceeds that he could easily smash value again.
STAT MONSTER SECTION:
VALUE MONSTERS: (Players with a significant fantasy point to salary ratio.)
1. Paul Millsap – 8.7x value over last 12 days. (only 2 games)
2. Joakim Noah – 7.7x value over last 12 days.
3. Avery Bradley – 7.7x value over last 12 days.
4. Mitchell Robinson – 7.4x value over last 12 days.
5. Dario Saric – 7.4x value over last 12 days.
6. Jeff Teague - 7.0x value over last 12 days.
7. Andrew Wiggins – 6.8x value over last 12 days.
**NEW Today** - Highest 7x Consistency Players (Players using their current slate salary that has the highest % of games at 7x over last 21 days. 5 game played minimum.)
1. Delon Wright – 60% of games played in last 21 days they hit 7x their current salary.
2. Monte Morris – 58% of games played in last 21 days they hit 7x their current salary.
3. Luol Deng – 50% of games played in last 21 days they hit 7x their current salary.
4. Cheick Diallo – 43% of games played in last 21 days they hit 7x their current salary.
5. Bobby Portis – 40% of games played in last 21 days they hit 7x their current salary.
6. Joakim Noah – 40% of games played in last 21 days they hit 7x their current salary.
7. Andre Drummond - 40% of games played in last 21 days they hit 7x their current salary.
MINUTE MONSTERS: (Players under $6,500 with the highest average minutes per game.)
1. Andrew Wiggins – 35.6 min/game over last 12 days.
2. Otto Porter – 35.5 min/game over last 12 days.
3. Trevor Ariza – 35.5 min/game over last 12 days.
4. Kenrich Williams 35.0 min/game over last 12 days.
5. Nicolas Batum 34.0 min/game over last 12 days.
REBOUND MONSTERS: (Players under $6,500 taking a high number of boards per game.)
1. Paul Millsap – 11.5 boards/game over last 12 days. (only 2 games played)
2. DeAndre Jordan – 10.8 boards/game over last 12 days.
3. Serge Ibaka – 10.6 boards/game over last 12 days.
4. Cody Zeller – 9.6 boards/game over last 12 days.
5. Kenrich Williams – 8.8 boards/game over last 12 days.
<Personal Favorite Stat!> SHOT MONSTERS: (Players under $6,500 taking a high number of FG attempts per game.)
1. Andrew Wiggins – 21.0 - FG attempts/game over last 12 days.
2. Jeremy Lamb – 15.8 FG attempts/game over last 12 days.
3. Derrick Rose – 15.5 FG attempts/game over last 12 days.
4. Bojan Bogdanovic – 15.0 FG attempts/game over last 12 days.
5. Dennis Schroeder – 14.7 FG attempts/game over last 12 days.
6. Terrance Ross – 14.5 FG attempts/game over last 12 days.
7. Tim Hardaway Jr. – 14.4 FG attempts/game over last 12 days.
INTERESTING STATS:
Players with monster games vs. the same opponent they are facing (if it was significant to their salary ratio):
1. Paul George – 84.0 points
2. Nikola Jokic – 66.0 points
3. Kemba Walker – 64.5 points
4. Dario Saric – 56.5 points
5. Karl-Anthony Towns – 54.8 points
6. Marc Gasol – 54.5 points
7. Bobby Portis – 49.8 points
Players with the highest last 10 game ceiling price under $7,500:
1. Marc Gasol – 68.3 points (traded)
2. Pascal Siakam – 67.0 points
3. Julius Randle – 60.3 points
4. Otto Porter – 56.5 points
5. Lou Williams – 56.3 points
6. Thomas Bryant – 55.5 points
7. Zach LaVine – 53.5 points
Thank you for reading and good luck!
Haze