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NBA DFS Plays & Stats for March 7th!

NBA Plays & Stats for (March 7th, 2020) from CheatSheetPros!


We have posted some plays that are just fire so hopefully you have been cashing in with them! Let’s look at the slate tonight and if you are into sports betting make sure to check out the betting article on the website!


MATTHEW DELLAVEDOA – He isn’t my favorite value play today but just over min priced and projected for 30 minutes he is a decent punt. I’m worried the ownership may be sky high on him because he is sitting atop most optimizers right now so that means the average player will have him shoved in there. In 25.4 min/game he was putting 4.88x value up and projected for 5 more minutes would put him over value but with a usage of only 14% I don’t think he is a GPP winner or someone that is going to go 10x. He has played 35 and 29 minutes the L2 games and put up 12.25 and 23.5. So let’s say he puts up 21 DKP for around 7x, that is reasonable but if he is 45% owned do you want that risk?

MIKE CONLEY –Jumping into the grade sheet as a “Tier 1” player he is projected for 32 minutes tonight and averaging 31 in his L4 so we are confident in his minutes. So next I want to know what has he need with those 31 min/game in the L4? He has put up a solid 6.8x value and averaged 33.25 DKP per game. That is awesome! So how does his DVP spot look tonight? It is sitting at 1.08 which is solid and well above the 0.89ish number that we look for as a red flag. His last 5 games range from 27.5 – 42.75 DKP and all of those are hitting value on his low 4900 salary tonight.

JONAS VALANCIUNAS – Here we go again! Memphis is in a smash spot as ATL is allowing 62.1 DKP per game to the C position and that is 25.1% of the total points allowed. Remember we also talk if there is a position that is getting over that 22%-23% of the total points allowed that is a good spot to be in. ATL is also allowing the most DKP per game as a team on the slate at 247.1. Now he has put together back to back shitty games of 29.75 and 33 DKP which are only slightly over 4x BUT he has 2 GPP monster games in the last 5 with a 51.5 and 49.75 DKP!

JA MORANT – So just like we said we like Memphis players above the PG is also a solid spot as they are giving up 53.5 DKP per game to the position and that is a +13.6% advantage. So let’s look at Ja Morant and his number on the “Grade Tab”. He is listed as a “Tier 1: Core Player” and in 29.8 min/game over the L4 he has been putting up 5.3x value and has a MASSIVE ceiling of 59.5 DKP. Remember when we say “ceiling” we are talking about his last 10 game ceiling, not some crap the player did 40 games ago, we want something more recent.

TYUS JONES – I prefer Tyus as a punt over Della whatever his name is as he will be much less owned. Tyus is playing around 20 minutes per game and putting up 18-37 DKP. He has 20, 21, 19 and 22 minutes in his L4 games so he is pretty consistent and projected for another 20 tonight. He has 26, 35.75 and 37.75 DKP in his last 3. He has also taken 10, 13, 10 and 11 FG attempts so he is not afraid to shoot the rock. Tyus for the value play of 20 minutes at only 4200 on DK!

COLLIN SEXTON –He is in a tough spot tonight but last time he also crushed on that tough spot. His DVP spot is only 0.91 which is low. But this guy has been on fire. With a 6.5x value over his last 4 games and coming off a 55.25 and 50.25 DKP game is priced at 6900.

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