PLAYER PROP breakdown from CheatSheetPros!
YouTube Video: https://youtu.be/MDo5k5dnIq4
YouTube Video - Will have greater detail and more explanation on the player props and plays. I also include some bonus plays that I like on the video!
QUICK NEWS AND NOTES:
Player props are extremely fun to mix and match and put together based on game theory and recent performances. Most of our player props are found using our “PROPs” & "Last 7" tab on the NBA cheatsheet by comparing the prop line with their daily projection and last 7 and last 15 day performances. The guys that jump out I go and look at their recent game logs. Good Luck and have fun with it!
HOW WE GET STARTED:
Looking at the "Last 7" tab on our NBA CheatSheet we can find players that have been exceeding their current projection. The current projection is usually really close to where the Vegas prop line is at your sportsbook, Prize Picks and/or Thrive Picks. I write down some of the players which I have highlighted above and then I look at their game logs.
PROPS THAT WE LIKE:
JOHN COLLINS OVER 17.5 POINTS (-102)
He returned for 32 minutes and 21 points and prior to his 5 game absence he had 20, 17, 28, 20 and 21 points. Like this for a straight wager or adding to a parlay.
D'ANGELO RUSSELL OVER 9.5 ASSISTS (+198)
I bet this for a straight wager also because the line is just too juicy! His actual normal line is over 6.5 assists (-154) so if you can find that in PP or Thrive I like the over. He has put up 12, 3, 14 and 12 over his last 4 games and I can get over 9.5 or AT LEAST 10 for +198? Yea I'll take a shot on that!
TRAE YOUNG OVER 27.5 POINTS (-135)
He has 25, 56, 35, 26, 29, 34, 28, 41, 31, 29, 25 and 25 points over his recent games so scoring 28 feels pretty safe. For a "safe parlay" I like pumping this down to 24 as he is something like 10-0 for that OVER. Just FYI over 33.5 (+146).
ZACH LAVINE OVER 24.5 POINTS (-120)
LaVine is a pure shooter and as long as he isn't up against a good perimeter defensive team like IND where he was only 0 for 3 from beyond the arc he does really well. If you take out that one game he has put up 27, 27, 35, 25, 30 and 32 points. So you can see how over 24.5 looks pretty good. Over 29.5 points is (+143).
FRED VANVLEET OVER 27.5 POINTS (+160)
The actual line is 22.5 (-120) but he has put up 37, 19, 33, 35, 31, 27 and 31 points over recent games so he is killing that number. I prefer to take a higher shot at over 27.5 at +160.
DARIUS GARLAND OVER 19.5 POINTS (-110)
He has 26 and 27 points after missing the prior 4 games. Prior to those 4 games he had a solid 22, 28, 22 and 21 points so we obviously like over 19.5.
Just FYI - On the YouTube video will also build a "safe parlay" line!
THRIVE PROPS TO CONSIDER: These were all discussed above & on the video!
My Favorite NBA 3 man card today on THRIVE:
** Try our NBA CheatSheet with our “Player Prop Tabs” for FREE on Thursdays here: Free Group Link: www.Facebook.com/groups/HazeSheets/
Thanks for reading & good luck!
Haze
