NBA Plays & Stats from CheatSheetPros!
RECAP: Last night 3 of our top 5 GPP algo plays went for 7.5x value or higher. We had JaVale McGee (8.3x value), Kemba Walker (8.0x value) and Shaq Harrison (7.6x value) all in our top 5. Make sure your join our FREE Facebook group below as tomorrow is FREE Premium Sheet Thursday! Small 5 game slate tonight so let’s get started!
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PLAYERS TO CONSIDER FOR YOUR LINEUPS!
Enes Kanter - $5,000
If you didn’t see the injury to Nurkic then don’t watch it, it was pretty nasty and players were gagging on the floor and turning away. Kanter is projected to take over as the primary C and projected for 27 minutes tonight vs. his last 6 game average of 18.2. He gets a monster matchup vs. CHI who is giving up the slate high 62.8 DK points to the C position over the last two weeks and that is a whopping 25.9% of the total points they allow. Remember when we see a player’s position getting over 22-23% of the total points that is usually the sign of a big game. This gives him a +10.2% advantage over the other C matchups on the slate. 43% of his games over the last 21 days have also went for a solid 6x value. He has a solid 5x floor and 8x upside tonight. He did have 65.0 DK points last time he faced CHI but I’m not sure what the circumstances were but just know he has some monster upside!
JaVale McGee - $6,900 <#1 GPP Algo Play on morning update!>
He was my favorite play yesterday with a solid matchup he had 50 point upside and he delivered! With McGee playing the late game it’s great to have a solid guy late to anchor down your lineups. Tonight is a tougher matchup vs. Utah where his team implied total is only 103.5 points but I can’t look past his recent performance. He is averaging 45.1 DK points over his last 6 games and that is 10 points over hitting value. His last 4 games he is averaging 49.3 points. So I’m looking for around 42 points tonight to give us around 6.1x value. That would be less than his normal average, factoring in the matchup and if he falls a little short he should still give us solid production as he is playing just shy of 30 minutes per game over his last 6.
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope $5,200
He is playing 32.2 minutes per game and just putting up a solid 6-7x. He is on a 6x value tear over his last 6 games and jumped to a 7x value over his last 4 games at 35.8 points. Touch matchup but cheap price and he is SG/SF eligible on DK so he has mobility in your lineups.
Devin Booker - $9,200
When you get above $9k you aren’t likely to his 8x, 9x and 10x value with those players unless it is James Harden and he is going bananas on the court. So here I’m looking for 6x to 6.5x and I can shoot for higher returns on the lower priced guys that may have a little more variance. So Booker you need around 55 DK points for 6x value. He is averaging 53.5 over his last 6 games, 52.6 over his last 4 games and a whopping 63.0 over his last two games. If he breaks 50 that would be a good play for us. 29% of his games over the last 21 days are even hitting 7x his current price tag. The red flag to be weary of is that he averages 13 less DK points per game at home than on the road. However they have no one else to score as we seen in their last game as they lost 125-92 and he put up 71.5 DK points, went 19 of 34 and scored 59 real life points. He has a 71.5 and 67.25 point game in his last 5. His usage numbers are also insane over his last 5 games they look like this 50.8, 37.3, 38.2, 35.1 and 34.8!
STAT MONSTER SECTION:
DVP MATCHUPS: Screen shot will be posted in our Free Flick Chat Group.
VALUE MONSTERS: (Players with a significant fantasy point to salary ratio.)
1. Zach Collins 8.4x value over last 12 days.
2. Tyler Dorsey 8.3x value over last 12 days.
3. JaVale McGee 8.2x value over last 12 days.
4. Jonas Valanciunas 7.3x value over last 12 days.
5. Chandler Parsons 7.2x value over last 12 days.
MINUTE MONSTERS: (Players under $7,000 with the highest average minutes per game.)
1. Mikal Bridges – 37.2 min/game over last 12 days.
2. Kyle Kuzma – 35.2 min/game over last 12 days.
3. Justin Holiday – 34.8 min/game over last 12 days.
4. Dennis Schroder – 34.1 min/game over last 12 days.
5. Klay Thompson – 33.7 min/game over last 12 days.
REBOUND MONSTERS: (Players under $7,000 taking a high number of boards per game.)
1. JaVale McGee – 13.3 boards/game over last 12 days.
2. Domantas Sabonis – 11.0 boards/game over last 12 days.
3. DeAndre Ayton – 9.5 boards/game over last 12 days.
4. Lauri Markkanen – 8.7 boards/game over last 12 days.
5. Derrick Favors – 8.3 boards/game over last 12 days.
SHOT MONSTERS: (Players under $7,000 taking a high number of FG attempts per game.)
1. Klay Thompson – 18.0 FG attempts/game over last 12 days.
2. Kyle Kuzma – 16.8 FG attempts/game over last 12 days.
3. Dennis Schroeder – 15.2 FG attempts/game over last 12 days.
4. Lauri Markkanen – 13.7 FG attempts/game over last 12 days.
5. Jabari Parker – 13.1 FG attempts/game over last 12 days.
INTERESTING STATS:
Players with monster games vs. the same opponent they are facing (if it was significant to their salary ratio):
1. Bradley Beal – 80.8 points
2. Enes Kanter – 65.0 points
3. Devin Booker – 63.5 points
4. Donovan Mitchell – 58.0 points
5. DeAndre Ayton – 52.3 points
Players with the highest last 10 game ceiling price under $7,500:
1. JaVale McGee – 72.0 points
2. Lauri Markkanen – 61.3 points
3. Kris Dunn – 59.0 points
4. Klay Thompson – 58.8 points
5. Myles Turner – 58.3 points
Thank you for reading and good luck!
Haze