NBA Plays & Stats from CheatSheetPros!
RECAP: 6 of our top 7 GPP algo plays went for 6.9x value or more last night! GPP algo plays continue to SMASH! We had VanVleet 7.7x, Brook Lopez (one of my favorite plays that no one was talking about) go for 6.9x value, Shaq Harrison 10.4x value, Khris Middleton 7.3x value, Damian Lillard (obvious with no CJ) go for 7.4x value and Joel Embiid for 7.5x value!
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PLAYERS TO CONSIDER FOR YOUR LINEUPS!
Luka Doncic - $8,900
Coming in as our #4 GPP Algo play today he has a great matchup vs. SAC who has been getting killed by PG’s all year long. They are giving up the highest amount of DK points to the PG position over the last two weeks and that number is a massive 57.9 DK points. The is a higher allowance than any position on the slate for today! They also have a massive projected pace. If you use the last 3 game numbers they are projected at a pace of 110.5 (#1 on slate) and if you use the season long numbers they are still at 106.0 (#2 on the slate). Luka averages right around 50 DK points per game and has 12% of his games the last 21 days hitting the 7x mark.
Andre Drummond - $8,700
He comes in as our #9 GPP algo play on the day. Facing a PHO team that is giving up 23.5% of their total fantasy points to the C position puts Drummond on the radar. He should have a big night as long as he doesn’t start off 1 for 9 as he usually does when I play him. Drummond also has 40% of his games hitting 7x over the last 21 days.
Trae Young - $7,500
Facing UTA they are giving up 51.3 DK points to the PG position and that is 24.7% of their total fantasy points allowed. When we get over the 22-23% number that is usually the sign of a big game. Last time Trae faced UTA he dropped 48.8 DK points and has a last 10 game ceiling of a massive 87.0 points! He is averaging 42.2 DK points over his last 6 games and that is pushing a 6x floor. He also has one of the highest last 10 game ceilings off 11.6x.
STAT MONSTER SECTION:
DVP MATCHUPS: <Using DVP DK points allowed over the last two weeks and players to consider who play the majority of their time at that position.>
CENTERS:
1. DET facing PHO who is giving up 56.9 DK points over the last two weeks. <Drummond!>
2. Denver facing WAS who is giving up 55.3 DK points.
3. WAS facing DEN who is giving up 54.3.
POINT GUARDS:
1. DAL facing SAC who is giving up 57.9.
2. CHA facing MIN who is giving up 57.5.
3. UTA facing ATL who is giving up 54.5.
4. ALT facing UTA who is giving up 51.3.
(All others below 48.4.)
VALUE MONSTERS: (Players with a significant fantasy point to salary ratio.)
1. Jabari Parker – 6.3x value over last 12 days.
2. Jalen Brunson – 6.3x value over last 12 days.
3. Paul Millsap – 6.1x value over last 12 days.
4. Devin Booker – 6.0x value over last 12 days.
5. Josh Jackson – 6.0x value over last 12 days.
**NEW** - Highest 7x Consistency Players (Players using their current slate salary that has the highest % of games at 7x over last 21 days. 5 game played minimum.)
1. Alex Len – 50% of games played in last 21 days they hit 7x their current salary mark.
2. Taj Gibson – 50% of games played in last 21 days they hit 7x their current salary mark.
3. Bobby Portis – 43% of games played in last 21 days they hit 7x their current salary mark.
4. Andre Drummond – 40% of games played in last 21 days they hit 7x their current salary mark.
5. Darren Collison – 38% of games played in last 21 days they hit 7x their current salary mark.
MINUTE MONSTERS: (Players under $7,000 with the highest average minutes per game.)
1. Harrison Barnes – 34.6 min/game over last 12 days.
2. Andrew Wiggins – 34.5 min/game over last 12 days.
3. Draymond Green – 34.2 min/game over last 12 days.
4. Mikal Bridges – 34.0 min/game over last 12 days.
5. Tomas Satoranksy – 33.9 min/game over last 12 days.
REBOUND MONSTERS: (Players under $7,000 taking a high number of boards per game.)
1. DeAndre Ayton – 9.5 boards/game over last 12 days.
2. Willie Cauley-Stein – 9.3 boards/game over last 12 days.
3. Paul Milsap – 9.2 boards/game over last 12 days.
4. DeWayne Dedmon – 9.2 boards/game over last 12 days.
5. Domantas Sabonis – 8.3 boards/game over last 12 days.
SHOT MONSTERS: (Players under $7,000 taking a high number of FG attempts per game.)
1. Andrew Wiggins – 17.7 FG attempts/game over last 12 days.
2. Buddy Hield – 17.7 FG attempts/game over last 12 days.
3. Bojan Bogdanovic – 14.2 FG attempts/game over last 12 days.
4. Tim Hardaway Jr. – 14.1 FG attempts/game over last 12 days.
5. DeAndre Ayton – 13.8 FG attempts/game over last 12 days.
INTERESTING STATS:
Players with monster games vs. the same opponent they are facing (if it was significant to their salary ratio):
1. KAT – 73.0 points
2. DeAndre Ayton – 50.3 points
3. Trae Young – 48.8 points
4. De’Aaron Fox – 46.3 points
5. Will Barton – 46.3 points
Players with the highest last 10 game ceiling price under $7,500:
1. Trae Young – 87.0 points
2. John Collins – 64.0 points
3. Klay Thompson – 58.8 points
4. Myles Turner – 58.3 points
5. Bogdan Bogdanovic – 58.0 points
Thank you for reading and good luck!
Haze