NBA Plays & Stats from CheatSheetPros!
RECAP: Last night we had 8 of 10 GPP algo plays smash value. We had D’Angelo Russell (6.3x value), Fournier (7.7x value), Seth Curry (7.8x value), Tyler Dorsey (10.6x value), Booker (8.1x value) and our Favorite play discussed in the chat all day was Jusuf Nurkic who was $6,900 on DK and went for 72.5 DK points for 10.5x value. Now he did suffer a season ending gruesome injury but he smashed value. We also had a flick chat member his a $1,500 GPP last night!
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PLAYERS TO CONSIDER FOR YOUR LINEUPS!
Lauri Markkanen - $6,700
Coming in as our top GPP algo play this morning with a score of 118.27. He has a last 10 game ceiling of 61.3 DK points and that is good for 9.1x value. He is also on a nice 5.5x value over his last 4 games and 7.1x value over his last two games. He is a player that is sub $7k and has 50 point upside. 17% of his games over the last 21 days are hitting 8x value!
Luka Doncic - $8,500
He has all the upside in the world with a last 10 game ceiling of 66.8 DK points and he is averaging 50.1 DK points per game over his last 4 games. 50% of his games over the last 21 days are going for 6x value and 38% are going for 7x value!
Kemba Walker - $8,600
Another player coming in sub $9k on DK that has 50 point upside. 51.1 DK points per game over his last 4 and 62.6 over his last 2 game average. 34% of games hitting 6x the last 21 days. Vegas team implied total of 108.25 and a spread of only +3.
Evan Fournier - $5,300
He has a tougher matchup today as MIA is only allowing a low 36.3 DK points to his primary position over the last two weeks and that is only 16.8% of the total points they are allowing. But after Fourniers big game last night, a last 10 ceiling of 49.0 and a 4 game average of 36.6 points which is 7x value he is in the player pool for GPPs. Low team total of only 99.75 points.
JaVale McGee - $6,500
WAS is getting killed by C’s giving up 52.6 DK points to the position over the last two weeks and that is 22.3% of the total points they are allowing. McGee averaging around 27 minutes per game over his last 6 should eat tonight. McGee is averaging 42.6 points per game over his last 4 and has a last 10 game ceiling off a massive 11.1x value which was good for 72.0 points.
Lou Williams - $6,900
He is not listed in our top 20 GPP algo plays but he kept jumping out when I was running that stat monster section below. Vegas gave LAC a team implied total of 116.25 with a spread of only -2.5 (great for us). MIN is also giving up just shy of 50 points to the PG position. Lou Will is also attempting almost 17 FG attempts per game over the last 12 days. He also dropped 52.3 DK points last time he faced MIN and he has a last 10 game ceiling of 65.3 DK points which is good for 9.5x value so he has to be in the player pool tonight.
STAT MONSTER SECTION:
DVP MATCHUPS: <Using DVP DK points allowed over the last two weeks and players to consider who play the majority of their time at that position.>
CENTERS:
1. CLE facing BOS – giving up 64 points per game.
2. TOR facing CHI – giving up 60.7 points per game. <Gasol/Ibaka>
3. BOS facing CLE - giving up 60.1 points per game. <Al Horford>
4. HOU facing MIL – giving up 59.9 points per game. <Capela>
POINT GUARDS:
1. LAC facing MIN – giving up 59.5 points per game. <Lou Williams/Shai A.>
2. NOR facing ATL – giving up 56 points per game. <Elf Payton/Frank Jackson>
3. CHI facing TOR – giving up 53.8 points per game. <Ryan A/Shaq H>
4. CLE facing BOS giving up 50.9 points per game. <Collin Sexton>
VALUE MONSTERS: (Players with a significant fantasy point to salary ratio.)
1. JaVale McGee – 7.7x value over last 12 days.
2. Shaq Harrison – 6.8x value over last 12 days.
3. Fred VanVleet – 6.4x value over last 12 days.
4. Thomas Bryant – 6.3x value over last 12 days.
5. Giannis Ante – 6.2x value over last 12 days.
MINUTE MONSTERS: (Players under $7,000 with the highest average minutes per game.)
1. Frank Jackson – 35.6 min/game over last 12 days.
2. Kyle Kuzma – 35.4 min/game over last 12 days.
3. Andrew Wiggins – 35.1 min/game over last 12 days.
4. Aaron Gordon – 34.3 min/game over last 12 days.
5. Jayson Tatum – 33.4 min/game over last 12 days.
SHOT MONSTERS: (Players under $7,000 taking a high number of FG attempts per game.)
1. Andrew Wiggins -16.6 FG attempts/game over last 12 days.
2. Lou Williams – 16.6 FG attempts/game over last 12 days.
3. Kyle Kuzma – 16.2 FG attempts/game over last 12 days.
4. Collin Sexton - 16.2 FG attempts/game over last 12 days.
5. Frank Jackson - 15.2 FG attempts/game over last 12 days.
INTERESTING STATS:
Players with monster games vs. the same opponent they are facing (if it was significant to their salary ratio):
1. Andre Drummond – 53.0 points
2. Kemba Walker – 52.5 points
3. Lou Williams – 52.3 points
4. LaMarcus Aldrige – 52.0 points
5. Elfrid Payton – 51.0 points
Players with the highest last 10 game ceiling price under $7,500:
1. JaVale McGee – 72.0 points
2. Lou Williams – 65.3 points
3. John Collins – 64.0 points
4. Lauri Markkanen – 61.3 points
5. Rajon Rondo – 60.5 points
Thank you for reading and good luck!
Haze