NBA SPORTS BETTING PICKS, SAME GAME PARLAY AND A PRIZE PICK PROP FOR MONDAY!
QUICK NEWS & NOTES:
I am off this week for the holiday so wanted to get some plays out for everyone! Anytime I can write up an article and share my opinions it is a great day! Unless they all lose then it’s a sucky day and a waste of time, lol. I hope everyone has a great holiday season and enjoy this time with your special ones!
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NBA SPORTS BETTING PICKS:
BOSTON (-6) OVER CHICAGO
CHEATSHEETPROS MODEL: BOSTON 125 vs. CHICAGO 105
Chicago has lost 4 straight games and 6 of the last 7 games including being blown out twice (Pelicans won by 14) and (Denver won by 23). Chicago is also 3-7 in the last 10 games. Boston is rolling right now and are winners of 9 straight games and in those 9 games they have wins of 25, 19, 16 and 15 points so our model spitting out a 20 point win isn’t unreal. The OVER 227.5 is also interesting as these two played on 11/4 and it was a 242 point game (123-119) and Boston has game totals of 226, 227, 248, 225, 243 and 240 in the last 6 so none of those are “way under” they are borderline to sky rocketing over that number.
CLEVELAND (-2.5) OVER ATLANTA
CHEATSHEETPROS MODEL: CLEVELAND 118 vs. ATLANTA 109
Our model is projecting a 9 point win for the Cavs who are 9-6-1 ATS and 5-1-1 ATS at home. After a brutal 5 game stretch of losses that includes games against MIL, MIN and GSW they are riding a short 2 game win streak over CHA and MIA. They beat MIA by 26 and then CHA by 10 putting up 113 and 132 points. ATL is 7-9 ATS and 3-4 ATS on the road. ATL is 3-3 in the last 6 games with wins of 2, 15 and 9 points and losses of 6, 12 and 25 points so they are all over the place. CLE is playing with a 1.12 offensive efficiency meaning they are scoring 112 points per 100 possessions while ATL is at 1.08 giving a slight lean to the CLE offense. On the defensive end CLE is allowing a low 1.05 meaning they are allowing only 105 points per 100 possessions while ATL is allowing a 1.08.
TIER 2 PLAY
MINNESOTA (-8.5 / 1ST HALF) OVER MIAMI
CHEATSHEETPROS MODEL: MINNESOTA 119 vs. MIAMI 104
This is a lot of points to lay for an NBA game so I might take a shot at the 1st half line. MIA is playing it’s 4th road game in a row and they have lost the other 3 by 26, 1 and 8 points to CLE, WAS and TOR. MIN is riding a 3 game win streak putting up 112, 126 and 129 points knocking off PHI, ORL and CLE by 3, 18 and 5 points. MIA is 4-13 ATS and 2-5 ATS on the road so giving the lean here to Minnesota who our model is showing a 15 point win.
SAME GAME PARLAY ACTION:
Nothing too crazy in this spot just slapped together some safe legs for a plus money.
TRAE YOUNG 20+ POINTS
DARIUS GARLAND 15+ POINTS
TRAE YOUNG 7+ ASSISTS
STEPHEN CURRY 20+ POINTS
ZION WILLIAMSON 30+ PRA
JAYSON TATUM 30+ PRA
PAYOUT IS +155 / 2 UNITS WINS +3.1 UNITS
OPTIONAL LEGS TO BOOST UP THE ODDS IF YOU HAVE A HIGHER RISK TOLERANCE:
STEPHEN CURRY 25 OR 30+ POINTS (Klay unlikely to play and Curry has put up 33, 24, 50, 16, 27 and 40 over his last 5 games.)
TYRESE HALIBURTON ASSISTS (He has 4, 8, 11, 15 and 12 over his last 5 games so adding an ALT over on something 8, 9 or 10 would drive up the odds and you can feel pretty confident with it.)
ANFERNEE SIMONS POINTS (He is about as consistent as they come over his last 5 games putting up 23, 24, 23, 24 and 23 points. I think DK has 15+ at a heavily juiced leg or 20+ at something more reasonable.)
EVAN MOBLEY REOUNDS (He popped on some of my research and his line is only 8.5 on Prize Picks and he has 10+ board in 4 of the last 5 games. Incase you were wondering they look like this: 10, 18, 7, 13 and 13 rebounds, Wowzers!)
BOL BOL REBOUNDS (Have not seen a line on him yet but he has 11, 10, 12, 9 and 15 over his last 5 games giving you a consistent high floor. His PRA also would be interesting.)
BOSTON CELTICS TEAM TOTAL OVER 107.5 (You could even take this up to around 110-115 and feel pretty good about it as they are crushing it right now!)
PRIZE PICKS
The morning NBA sheet only has 40-60 "Prize Picks" and on the afternoon update it grows to 200-300. The morning update had these plays with his 80%+ hit rates over the last 5 games. I love to look at the last 7 average vs. projected line and pick my spots!
EVAN MOBLEY REOUNDS (He popped on some of my research and his line is only 8.5 on Prize Picks and he has 10+ board in 4 of the last 5 games. Incase you were wondering they look like this: 10, 18, 7, 13 and 13 rebounds, Wowzers!)
This line has already moved from 10.5 to 11.5 in the last 2 hours.
THANK YOU FOR READING AND GOOD LUCK!
HAZE
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