DAILY FANTASY STACKS:
One of the things I like about the NFL cheatsheet is the ease that you can sort out the QB + 2 pass catchers and run back with an opponent pass catcher and find the cost of the stack, projection of that stack, average points produced and the stack ceiling. I also have a column to the right that shows how much cap space the stack will cost and the average salary left over so you can quickly scroll through and decide if it’s a stars and scrubs kind of stack or not.
I’m not passing up on another Dolphins stack especially for cash games. Miami has the #1 passing offense right now and they are 8th in PPG over their last 3 putting up 35 and 31 points over the last 2 games. Tua has been pushing that 4x-5x value the last two games putting up 27.1 and 32.2 DKPs and priced at only (6700) this week. His WRs are expensive with Tyreek Hill (9100) and Jaylen Waddle (7600) but hard to complain with Tyreek putting up record numbers and 30+ DKPs in 3 of the last 4 weeks. Amari Cooper (6500) is a good run back option but if you can’t afford him you can pivot down to Peoples-Jones (4300) who at least has 11+ DKPs over the last 3 weeks.
Never thought the day would come where we were talking BEARS stacks but here we are! Bears found the best way to utilize Justin Fields and they have put up 32, 29 and 33 points over the last 3 games and two of those foes are reputable defenses in Cowboys and Patriots. Lions rank 26th on defense allowing 398 yards per game (30th). Last week one of the winning GPP lineups was a Fields stack with Kmet and Mooney. Fields was high owned but no one took his pass catchers and the guy that did ended up winning.
KANSAS CITY CHIEFS
Vegas total over 50 and nearly a double digit favorite the Chiefs are likely to be somewhat popular. What I like is they hardly just run the ball as they rank 19th in rushing offense but 2nd in passing offense and they are 7th in PPG over the last 3. KC has put up 20, 44, 20, 30 and 41 points over the last 5 games and Jacksonville has allowed 20+ in 4 straight games. Jacksonville ranks 27th in passing defense and they are 31st in applying pressure on the QB while KC is 5th best at protecting the QB. JuJu Smith-Schuster (6000) is a great place to start the stack as he has exploded over the last 3 games putting up 19, 28 and 25 DKPs. If you can afford Travis Kelce (7800) he is always a solid option giving you a floor of 18+ but I like Mecole Hardman (4500) as he has 20 and 28 DKP over the last two games at nearly half the price.
Once again we are going to pick on the Houston Texans and their rush defense that is allowing the most rush yards per game (154.4) and most fantasy points per game (33.3) and the most rush TDs per game (1.5) and the second highest yards per rush attempt at (5.7).
KC should win this game as they are a double-digit favorite at home but that makes Etienne viable in the “catch up” game with all the short screen passes he can catch. KC is allowing the 6th most fantasy points to the RB position but they are terrible against pass catching backs. They allow the most receptions per game (7.9) and 2nd most receiving yards per game at (55.8). Travis Etienne has 30, 28 and 23 DKPs over the last 3 weeks at priced at (7100) he has been hitting around 4x value the last two weeks.
WIDE RECEIVERS/TIGHT ENDS:
Putting up back to back 3x games Jeudy is priced under 6K at (5700) and only projected to be around 5%-6% owned. The last 3 weeks Jerry Jeudy has out targeted Courtland Sutton 7-4, 11-9 and 7-3 and they are still priced the same.
Looking through the NFL Cheatsheet sorted by “Algo” I’m looking for WRs that are priced under 6500 that pop. Everyone knows Cooper Kupp, Stefon Diggs, Tyreek Hill are the top options but they are also the highest priced options. JuJu has 19, 28 and 25 DKPs over the last 3 weeks giving you 3x to almost 5x value. He is the highest “Algo” rated WR at this price point. Everyone above him is 7600+.
Lazard is the second WR that pops in this price range at (6100). He has 19, 12 and 18 DKPs giving you 2x-3x but the Packers have been terrible and Romeo Doubs is likely not playing this week. Lazard has twice as many targets as any other WR (10 vs. 5,5,4,4,4). He missed Week 8 and the prior 4 weeks he had 7, 9, 8 and 8 targets and targets turn into points so a cheap option we can consider.
He is questionable this week and DNP on Thursday so that doesn’t look great for his outlook but keep an eye on it. Last week he had 9 targets and caught 6 balls for 79 yards and a touchdown. Hopefully we are witnessing him moving up the target list on this pass heavy KC team.
If he is on the field and the LAC are missing Mike Williams Palmer is a 10+ target guy. The last two weeks he has 10 and 12 targets and turned those into 8 catches for 106 yards and 9 catches for 57 yards. If you followed the same game parlays I posted I had a Palmer 6 grabs for 60+ yards at like +300 or higher (can’t remember exactly). He could be another viable target this week.
Someone else needs to catch balls behind DeAndre Hopkins in that Cardinals offense and looks like that might be Rondale Moore. Over the last two weeks he has 10 and 8 targets and went 8/69 and 7/92/1 over those two weeks.
NFL SPORTS BETTING - 1-0 TO START THE WEEK!
VEGAS has Carolina (+2.5)
CHEATSHEET says Carolina (-5)
Carolina WINS outright as a DOG!
DVP - OVERALL BREAKDOWN:
DVP vs QUARTERBACKS
DVP vs RUNNING BACKS
DVP vs WIDE OUTS
DVP vs TIGHT ENDS
TARGET CHART FROM CHEATSHEET - PLAYERS OVER LAST 4 WEEKS WITH HIGHEST AVERAGE:
PRIZE PICKS & PLAYER PROPS - Now with last 8 games stats for better tracking!
QUICK NEWS & NOTES FOR NBA CHEATSHEET UPDATES!
PRIZE PICKS & PLAYER PROPS
We now pull ALL 450 NBA PLAYERS GAME LOGS which is amazing! Huge shoutout to Jessica H for all her hard work in revamping our process! NBA Prize Picks tab will now show the LAST 10 games for the particular PRIZE PICK stat along with hit rates for last 5 and last 10 games and we added our recent STREAK to the mix! You can also compare the PRIZE PICK LINE last 7 average and Daily Projection! So much useful information! This sheet is posted in the AM and then updated again about 90 minutes prior to lock in the afternoon!