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NFL Week 10 DFS Plays from CheatSheetPros!


NFL Week 10 Plays & Stats from CheatSheetPros!


QUICK NEWS AND NOTES:

Yo~Yo my CheatSheetPros family! I hope everyone is doing well and ready for the Holidays! We now have Rich Block running his daily NBA Building Blocks videos in our Facebook group where he focuses on lower cost GPP plays with upside! If you are playing season long (as most of us do) Guice was activated so make sure he isn’t sitting on the waiver wire. Also if you want a long shot dart Antonio Brown is meeting with the NFL next week to present his side of things and teams are still interested. Again, these are just rumors and I think it’s a long shot of him playing but if he went to the Eagles he would be a fucking stud! Take a shot if you have a free bench spot!


FREE NFL OPTIMIZER TO TRY OUT!

We are testing out the servers for our NFL Optimizer this weekend so please feel free to check it out at www.CheatSheetPros.com/nflopto! You can lock/exclude players, generate lineups with a global exposure and even export lineups directly into excel at the click of a button! Play with it for FREE!


PLAYERS TO CONSIDER FOR YOUR LINEUPS:

This week going to hit most of the higher total games and give you the players that I like in each game. I also love Cooper Kupp this week but didn’t make the Rams game into the breakdown. With Cooks out due to a concussion he should get even more targets!


CHIEFS vs. TITANS: {Our Algo Projection: Kansas City 26 vs. Titals 21}

Mahomes is likely to play this week which is exciting since I’m from KC. TEN has a solid defense #3 Rush and #20 Pass but they are 27th vs. WR-1 so look at Tyreek Hill (7700) who was already getting it done with Moore at the helm. TEN players are CHEAP! KC has the 4th rated pass defense (DVOA) and the 28th rush defense so Derrick Henry (6400) anyone? KC is 30th in fantasy points to the RB position at 31.2 and Dion Lewis isn’t much of a factor.


BILLS vs. BROWNS: {Our Algo Projection: BUF 21 vs. CLE 17}

Low scoring game as the total opened at 42.5 and is now down to 40. Buffalo should be able to win these game with ease as their defense should cause Mayfield fits. I like to take a RB with a solid defense on a team that I like to win the game. So look at Devin Singletary (5000) as CLE is 24th in fantasy points to the RB position and the 21st rush defense (DVOA). BUF also giving up 141.2 rushing yards per game (30th). I don’t like much else in this game although I’m watching Chubb this week to see how many touches Kareem Hunt (3000) figures to take coming back. They did say they were going to give Hunt more touches this week to hopefully give Chubb a little break. Hunt a GPP play that should be able to hit value.


CARDINALS vs. BUCS: {Our Algo Projection: BUCS 30 vs. ARIZONA 23}

Line opened at 53 and has moved to 52. Tampa Bay is a dream over team as they are explosive and not interested in playing defense. Tampa is scoring 28.8 PPG (4th) and they are allowing 31.5 PPG (31st). ARI is giving up 126.9 RY per game (23rd) and 280.7 PY per game (29th). Tampa Bay is allowing 293.5 PY per game (31st). So much to like in this game with those stats. Kyler Murray (6500) as ARI can’t run on Tampa who is 1st in RY allowed per game at 78.1 so they are going to have to air it out. Pair him with Christian Kirk (5200) or Larry Fitz (5500). Tampa is also allowing the most fantasy points to WRs in the league at 45.2 (32nd). Larry Fitz has been a letdown so I prefer Kirk. On the other side we have Jameis Winston (6800) who also likes to air it out as they are 7th in passing yards per game and average under 100 RY per game. No secret here it is Mike Evans (7600) and Chris Godwin (7400). One of them is going to explode so mix and match!


SAINTS vs. FALCONS: {Our Algo Projection: SAINTS 25 vs. FALCONS 19}

Ummm 13 point favorite? I know the Falcons are bad this year and don’t play much defense but that is a lot of points for two NFL teams. The yard per point projected line that I use in my cheatsheets has this as Saints -9 so 13 is too many for me. With the Vegas line they have Saints projected at 32 points. Falcons can’t stop the pass and Drew Brees (6700) is back and ready to go as we saw last game. ATL is 31st in pass defense (DVOA) and allowing 261 PY per game (23rd). You can pair Brees with Michael Thomas (8300) who has the best matchup this week or even Alvin Kamara (8200) as he catches a ton of balls with Brees under center. On the other side I’m not touching Freeman vs. the 4th rated rush defense as ATL is only averaging 68.5 RY per game (29th). I’m leaning Julio Jones (7500) or Calvin Ridley (5400) and remember Sanu is gone now so more air yards for Calvin! Julio is likely to see shadow coverage again and the Saints are 9th vs. the WR-1 but they are 25th vs. the WR-2 so lean a little more on Calvin Ridley for DFS.


BALTIMORE vs. CINCY: {Our Algo Projection: RAVENS 31 vs. CINCY 16}

Lamar Jackson (7300) is the safest QB to play in your cash lineups. His rushing ability alone is putting him at 3x value week in and week out with upside. He is averaging the same amount of points as CMC at $3k less money. CINCY defense is awful as they are 29th vs. the rush and 30th vs the pass. Everyone for the Ravens is in play. Tyler Boyd (4700) is cheap enough that he should get plenty of garbage time passing targets to hit value.


COLTS vs. DOLPHINS: {Our Algo Projection: COLTS 25 vs. DOLPHINS 15}

Line opened at Miami +15.5 and down to +10.5. Fitz magic is knocking them out of the #1 pick in the draft! Miami can’t do anything but Fitz has given them a little bit of a passing game. Ryan Fitzpatrick (5200) is a viable punt option if you want to pair him with DeVante Parker (4800). Preston Williams is out so Parker should get a ton of targets. Marlon Mack (7000) is a little expensive for the recent production but I could see the reasoning to use him in GPP. I love Zach Pascal (5300) this week as T.Y. Hilton is out and Pascal has been on fire.


Here is the DVP by Fantasy Point table from our CheatSheet incase you want to use it to find some sneaky plays for yourself!


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Thank you for reading and good luck!

Haze

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