NFL “Daily Fantasy Breakdown” Week 15!
QUICK NEWS & NOTES:
Happy Friday! Let’s dive into some NFL DFS that is coming up this weekend!
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DAILY FANTASY STACKS:
One of the things I like about the NFL cheatsheet is the ease that you can sort out the QB + 2 pass catchers and run back with an opponent pass catcher and find the cost of the stack, projection of that stack, average points produced and the stack ceiling. I also have a column to the right that shows how much cap space the stack will cost and the average salary left over so you can quickly scroll through and decide if it’s a stars and scrubs kind of stack or not.
KANSAS CITY CHIEFS
Patrick Mahomes + JuJu + Travis Kelce
Runback option: Chris Moore > Brandin Cooks
KC has the highest implied team total at 31.75 points so definitely a stack that will put up some points. If you run the Mahomes + JuJu + Kelce with a Chris Moore run back it will cost you only 52% of your salary cap leaving you an average of 5235 left per player. This is a great cash game stack as it has an average value of 2.74x which is the highest on the slate and there is enough value to fill in the other spots in your lineup.
LA CHARGERS
Justin Herbert + Mike Williams + Keenan Allen
Runback option: Robert Woods / Westbrook-Ikhine
LAC has a team implied total of 24.75 points and Justin Herbert is the 4th priced QB with all of his weapons finally healthy. The last two weeks since Keenan Allen returned he has thrown for 367 and 335 passing yards putting up 3x value in each of those games. If he can get over the 1 TD mark he could easily go to 4x+ value as they are playing for a playoff spot this week against the Titans.
RUNNING BACKS:
DERRICK HENRY (DraftKings - 8000 / FanDuel - 8900)
Smash spot this week for Derrick Henry facing a Chargers team allowing 5.4 yards per carry which ranks 31st in the NFL and the 24th most rushing yards per game at over 142. What you should be asking yourself is - does Derrick Henry have upside at an 8000 price tag on DK? YES! Remember his smash spot @HOU on 10/30 where he rushed 32 times for 219 yards and 2 touchdowns putting up almost 40 DKPs? Get some exposure!
MILES SANDERS (DraftKings - 6500 / FanDuel - 7800)
In 2 of the last 3 weeks Sanders has put up 31.5 and 34 DKPs. His price point this week on DK is only (6500) so 4x is 26 DKPs and 5x is only 32 DKPs so he has two 5x value games in 2 of the last 3. How is his matchup? Bears allow 4.7 yards per rush (24th) and 160 rushing yards per game (27th). If you look at the RB Trench tool on the NFL cheatsheet you’ll also notice the Bears are 24th in allowing runs of 5-10 yards, 27th in runs of 10+ yards and all of this is a great for a Miles Sanders big day!
ZONOVAN KNIGHT (DraftKings - 5300 / FanDuel - 7200)
Zonovan Knight will continue to be the RB-1 for the Jets and he has looked the part. Against a tough Buffalo defense last week he rushed 17 times for 71 yards and a touchdown putting up around 3x value. This week the Lions will be the easiest matchup he has seen all season as they are allowing 5.0 yards per carry (29th) and they are allowing a 65% touchdown clip in the red zone with is 30th in the NFL.
WIDE RECEIVERS/TIGHT ENDS:
JA’MARR CHASE (DraftKings - 8300 / FanDuel - 9000)
Tee Higgins is questionable this week so Chase could get some extra volume. Last week Ja’Marr Chase had a whopping 15 TARGETS catching 10 balls for 119 yards and a touchdown for 31.5 DKPs for just under 4x value. The last 4 weeks that he played were W14, W13, W7 and W6 but he has put up 31.5, 16.7, 36 and 35.2 DKPs so when he is on the field he is putting up numbers.
KEENAN ALLEN (DraftKings - 6800 / FanDuel - 8000)
MIKE WILLIAMS (DraftKings - 6300 / FanDuel - 7200)
The Titans are allowing 42.1 DKPs per game to the WR position and that is 14.4 receptions, 191.4 yards per game and 1.4 touchdowns per game. They are the best spot for any WRs on the DVP chart so both of these guys are going to come into play. Keenan Allen had a whopping 14 TARGETS last week & the week prior so that is 28 TARGETs in only two weeks! Last week he caught 12 balls for 92 yards. Mike Williams caught 6 balls for 116 yards and a touchdown for 26.6 DKPs going over 4x value and pushing 5x.
CHRIS MOORE (DraftKings - 4200 / FanDuel - 6000)
With Nico Collins and Brandin Cooks missing last week he had 10 grabs on 11 targets for a whopping 124 yards putting up 25.4 DKPs. The best part is that his price tag is barely over 4K at (4200) making him a good punt option. Dameon Pierce is doubtful and they can’t stop KC from scoring so look forward to another big throwing day for Houston!
ROBERT WOODS (DraftKings - 4400 / FanDuel - 5600)
Treylon Burks was just ruled out of Week 15 making Robert Woods the WR-1 for the Titans. He is only (4400) so we only need 12-17 points for 3x-4x value and last week he had 7 targets with 5 grabs for 49 yards. Not a cash game play but worth a GPP dart.
CHIG OKONKWO (DraftKings – 3100 / FanDuel – 5100)
Treylon Burks was already ruled out this week so Okonkwo is a fantastic TE punt options and great for your GPP lineups. Last week he got 6 of 6 targets for 45 yards and a touchdown for 18.5 DKPs (that’s 6x value!).
CASH CORE LINEUP SHELL:
DEFENSE VS. POSITION STATS:
DEFENSE VS. POSITION - RUNNING BACKS ONLY:
PRIZE PICKS CHART FOR SOME OF THE HIGHER HIT RATE PLAYERS:
TARGETS TAB - PLAYERS WITH 7.0 TARGETS PER GAME & HIGHER OVER LAST 4 WEEKS:
Thank You & Good Luck, HAZE