NFL Week 3 Plays & Stats from CheatSheetPros!
QUICK NEWS & NOTES:
NFL Week 3 Cheatsheet & PGA Cheatsheet for this week are posted. MLB Cheatsheets are still posted daily usually before 7:30 am. DK/FD NFL Optimizer is loaded and DK PGA Optimizer is loaded! This week for NFL we added in player targets and red zone targets to the sheet.
PLAYERS TO CONSIDER FOR YOUR LINEUPS:
Ezekiel Elliott (8900) – The ownership projections are going to be wrong on this as they are sitting around 10% and I think he will be more in the 20-30% range. Dallas faces Miami where the spread opened at -15 and moved out to -21.5. Dallas has a solid rushing offense (currently 8th after 2 weeks) and they are averaging 151 rushing yards per game. Miami has the 24th rated rush defense and they are dead last vs. pass catching running backs. Miami is also giving up 36.8 DK points to the RB position. Dallas should easily win this game and Zeke will be eating clock the entire 2nd half. 150 rushing yards and 2 touchdowns would not shock me in this spot. Tony Pollard (only 3800) could get some work in if they want to give their $50 million dollar man a break!
Christian McCaffrey (8700) – Arizona is 28th vs. pass catching RBs and CMC is one of the best. With Cam likely not playing they should lean on CMC for plenty of work and he should act as a safety blanket for whichever QB gets the start. With one monster game and one poor game under his belt he is averaging 26.6 FPPG through 2 weeks which is pushing about 3x his DK salary.
Austin Ekeler (7200) – He is on a 5x average and projected at 20-25% ownership, lock him in for cash games he just gets too much work. GPP I think his ownership will be high and we can go elsewhere.
Devonta Freeman (4900) – Priced way down this week is Freeman. He has struggled in his first two starts this year but that means we can get him low owned and cheap this week! IND has the 30th rated rushing defense and they are 31st against pass catching RBs. Indy is giving up 124 rushing yards per game through two weeks. Freeman also has 9 targets on the year. Take a low owned flier in what should be a close game!
Miles Sanders (3900) – DET is giving up 30.1 Dk points per game to the RB position and he only needs around 20 points for 2.5x value his salary. DET is also 23rd vs. pass catching RBs. Worth a shot with Alshon and DJax questionable this week!
David Montgomery (5200) – Projected at 1% ownership I wanted to bring him up. WAS has the 29th ranked rush defense and Montgomery got a surprising 18 carries last week compared to only 3 from Mike Davis. He also had 3 targets in that game and a touchdown. Chicago is starting to work him more into the feature role and hopefully he can have that breakthrough game this week and we can catch him at a low ownership.
Devonta Adams (7600) – DEN has struggled vs the WR-1 this year as they rank 24th. Packers projected at 25.75 points per Vegas and Adams is the go to WR.
Allen Robinson (5600) – He is projected to be low owned (<5%) and I think he could have a solid week. He is going up against WAS who is giving up 56.4 points to the WR position (32nd), they also rank 28th in pass defense and 29th vs. WR-1s. A-Rob also has 20 targets on the year which puts him in the range of Travis Kelce, JuJu & Edelman.
Dallas WRs: Cooper is projected to be the highest owned in the 10-15% range but you can pivot off and take some Randall Cobb at a sub 3% projection. With Gallup out of the lineup he could have a solid game at his price tag of only 4600 on DK.
John Brown (5500) – 18 targets already this year and facing a Cincy team that is in the bottom 3 in pass defense and coverage vs. WR-1s. He also has 21 FPPG through two weeks. Super cheap!
Mark Andrews (4600) – Dirt cheap and red hot! He is facing a KC team who has struggled to cover the TE position. KC has been solid vs. the run but gashed through the air. I’d look at Andrews to get some looks in this game and also Marquise Brown (5900). KC is giving up 42 points per game to the WRs and 15.8 to the TE position. They are 5th best right now vs. the RB giving up 16 PPG. Andrews has 18 targets on the year already.
Evan Engram (5200) – With 22 targets through two weeks and facing a team that is 23rd vs. the TE he is in play. They are also #1 rush defense through two weeks so look for Daniel Jones to check down to his RB and TE many times. Remember LeV Bell and his 10 catches on Monday night?
Worst PASS DEFENSES to pick on:
Miami – Any Cowboy WRs are fine to use this week as they should be able to put up 30+ points on the Dolphins. Cobb & Devin Smith are sneaky and cheap with no Gallup. Devin Smith has the best WR vs. CB advantage per PFF with primary coverage from Eric Rowe who grades out at a low 41.3. Randall Cobb has the 2nd best vs. Jomal Wiltz who grades out at a 29.8.
Giants – Tampa might have a field day here. Mike Evans, Godwin and possible OJ Howard, they are all in play for me. Chris Godwin has a top 10 matchup per PFF WR vs. CB grades.
PIT – Don’t mine the 49’ers but they are not my favorite.
Cincy – Josh Allen and John Brown shouldn’t have any issues hitting value.
WASH – It is a MNF game but Allen Robinson should be in your showdown captain consideration.
Worst RUSH DEFENSES to pick on:
Saints – Facing the Seahawks Chris Carson should have a positive game script and Penny took 10 carries last week he could be used as a sneaky gpp play.
Cincy – Devin Singletary has 10 carries through 2 games and 7 of them have gone for 12+ yards with 3 missed tackles. If he can grab some more carries he could be a sneaky play!
INDY – Freeman could pick it up after having two bad weeks.
WAS – Again, this is a MNF game but David Montgomery took 18 touches last week and looked really good!
JAC – Thursday Night Football and Derrick Henry should see plenty of touches.
WIDE RECEIVER FADES:
DeAndre Hopkins – Likely to see shadow coverage from Casey Hayward.
Corey Davis – Likely to see shadow coverage from Jalen Ramsey.
Tyrell Williams – Likely to see shadow coverage from Xavier Rhodes.
Robby Anderson – Likely to see shadow coverage from Stephon Gilmore.
New NFL Algo Test this week - here is the top 20ish FLEX players on the ALGO TEST!
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