PLAYER PROPS & THRIVE PICKS from CheatSheetPros!
QUICK NEWS AND NOTES:
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PLAYS WE LIKE THIS WEEK:
Since some people don't have access to Thrive or Prize Picks I pulled some out of the local sports book to give you a good mix of plays from Prize Picks, Thrive and Sportsbooks.
DARREN WALLER UNDER 71.5 RECEIVING YARDS
Under this number in 4 of the last 5 games played.
Raw projected is only 63.3 yards which is well under the total.
JOE BURROW OVER 268.5 PASSING YARDS
Over this number in 4 of the last 5 games and the one miss he had 259.
His raw projection is 272 yards and he has been exceeding this number.
Last 3 games Cincy is 2nd in passing yards per game and Vegas in 24th in passing yards allowed per game.
JOE MIXON OVER 85.5 (RUSHING + RECEIVING YARDS) SPECIFIC TO THRIVE FANTASY
Over this number in 3 of the last 4 games with 110 last game, 92 the prior game and then over 150 in Week 6.
Las Vegas in 24th against pass catching RBs and on the season they allow the 27th most rushing yards per game.
His raw projected is 103 total yards.
CEEDEE LAMB OVER 72.5 RECEIVING YARDS - LOVE LOVE LOVE THIS PLAY!
I had this pegged before Amari Cooper was ruled out so the line may be a little higher now but I'm still on it. He has been killing this number and now that he is back in the slot with Gallup back it jumped out at me. Now with Cooper out he will be heavily targeted.
This game has a total of 56.5, KC is also 26th in passing yards allowed per game and his raw projection was in the 80's before Cooper was ruled out.
CMC OVER - 5.5 RECEIPTIONS -OR- 39.5 RECEIVING YARDS
When he was being "worked back in" he got 4 of 5 for 54 yards and then last week when he was finally back to a normal workload he got 10 balls for 66 yards.
WAS is solid against the "Rush" ranking 6th least amount of yards allowed at 97.1 but they are allowing the 30th most passing yards per game at 279.3.
WAS also ranks 21st against pass catching RBs.
HUNTER RENFROE OVER 5.5 RECEIPTIONS
With Henry Ruggs out Renfrow is getting a solid 9 targets per game over the last two and catching 7 of them.
WHY THRIVE FANTASY OVER PRIZE PICKS?
Thrive Fantasy has better payouts and odds! For example, Prize Picks advertises hitting 2 of 2 player props pays 3x but they also don’t give you back your buy-in so it actually only pays 2x. $10 wager would pay $30 but they take your $10 so your net profit is only $20. Thrive is more of the typically mindset of a sports betting individual where they don’t count the buy in. So, they have 2 of 2 paying 3.6x and it’s a true 3.6x so $10 would pay $36 of profit and you get to keep your $10 wager. Thrive also offers some 2 additional things you can’t get on Prize picks. 1) They offer combo props such as passing + rushing yards and points + rebounds + assists combos where Prize picks does not. 2) Thrive also offers “prop contest” where you are awarded points for hitting certain props. We are focusing on Thrive Fantasy picks going forward and since they offer an export feature we can add this to our cheatsheets!
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Thanks for reading & good luck!