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bathrobeDFS MLB Analysis for April 4th!


Hello, everyone!! bathrobeDFS is here with your Daily MLB Analysis. First, I will go over any weather concerns. Then, we will take a look at the Vegas lines. Next, I will take a look at Pitchers. Then I will look at the Hitters. All of this will be discussed as someone who plays on DraftKings.


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With that being said, let’s get into it!

The Early Slate

Since we are getting thin - two 4 game slates - I am going to do my first game-by-game breakdown on these matchups.


Nationals (Strasburg, RHP) vs Mets (Syndergaard, RHP) - 110pm -

Vegas Info - O/U - 6.5, NYM -127

Weather - Clear and Warm. Temps around 60. Winds around 10mph blowing out to RF. Small boost to hitters. But look at that pitching matchup.

Projected Lineups (L/R/S refers to Handedness of the Batter // Splits - EN = Extreme Normal, N = Normal, 0 = No splits, R = Reverse, ER = Extreme Reverse, RHB = Switch Hitter better as a RHB. LHB = Switch Hitter better as a LHB, ? = Not enough sample size. // Pitcher information is about pitching not how he hits.)


Nationals

Adam Eaton | OF | 3800 | L | EN

Brian Dozier | 2B | 3900 | R | EN

Anthony Rendon | 3B | 4100 | R | N

Juan Soto | OF | 4700 | L | N

Ryan Zimmerman | 1B | 3900 | R | EN

Yan Gomes | C | 3300 | R | EN

Wilmer Difo | 2B/SS | 3400 | S | 0

Stephen Strasburg | SP | 10300 | R | 0

Victor Robles | OF | 3900 | R | ?


Mets

Brandon Nimmo | OF | 3600 | L | EN

Pete Alonso | 1B | 3800 | R | ?

Robinson Cano | 2B | 4100 | L | EN

Michael Conforto | OF | 4100 | L | EN

Wilson Ramos | C | 3500 | R | N

Jeff McNeil | 3B/OF | 3700 | L | N

Amed Rosario | SS | 3700 | R | N

Juan Lagares | OF | 3200 | R | N

Noah Syndergaard | SP | 10100 | R | 0


Analysis

This is a pitching game, through and through. We have 2 of the best pitchers in the game going at it. Two legit Cy Young contenders. The Mets are playing their home opener here, and are slight favorites which makes sense given the fact that Trea Turner, Washington’s biggest weapon against Thor, is out. As it stands, Thor is going to face a Righty Heavy lineup with Normal Splits, meaning they are going to be weaker against him. While you may want to take a one-off chance on Eaton or Soto, I think that is a GPP play. I will say that, as I have noted in the past, Thor can not hold runners on, meaning that he gives up a lot of easy SBs, which are 5 points each. If you want to take a chance on Eaton getting on with a walk or a cheap hit, he should easily be good for a SB or two, at the very least. Otherwise, Syndergaard is my pick for Cy Young this year, so I will be targeting him heavily on this slate.

While I don’t think there’s any reason to go here if you are doing a single-entry lineup, the Mets are in another sneaky matchup. Now listen, I am all about Stras today. He is expensive, and I don’t like that. He shouldn’t be more expensive than Thor by any stretch. But he’s a fantastic pitcher. He is just someone who the Mets tend to handle pretty well- While he got 6 strong innings in, striking out 8 against them, he also gave up 7 hits and 4 ER. So he’s someone that will give up some runs but also strike people out, meaning you can take a couple bats AND Stras and really separate yourself. Well, you could if he wasn’t so expensive. I mean, just in the last start, in the 1st inning, he gave up 3 ER on 4 hits and struck out 3. He gave up another small-ball run before settling down and making it to the 7th. But then the bullpen blew up, allowing 7 runs in the 8th and 9th innings. Which is something these Mets can do. Especially if they play the full, normal lineup. If you are going to go anywhere, it would make sense to start with those 2 since they had the most success last week. But feel free to add Cano and Conforto and a few others. Like I said, there is a good possibility some of these Mets get their scores and so does Strasburg. It’s a 4 game slate. We can’t be as picky.


*Royals (Junis, RHP) vs Tigers (Turnbull, RHP)( - 110pm

Vegas Info - O/U - 8, KC -113

Weather - Cloudy and Cold. Temps around 40. Winds blowing in at 10mph. Boost to Pitchers.

Projected Lineups (L/R/S refers to Handedness of the Batter // Splits - EN = Extreme Normal, N = Normal, 0 = No splits, R = Reverse, ER = Extreme Reverse, RHB = Switch Hitter better as a RHB. LHB = Switch Hitter better as a LHB, ? = Not enough sample size. // Pitcher information is about pitching not how he hits.)


Royals

Whit Merrifield | 2B/OF | 4600 | R | EN

Adalberto Mondesi | SS | 5100 | S | ?

Alex Gordon | OF | 3500 | L | N

Jorge Soler | OF | 3800 | R | EN

Ryan O’Hearn | 1B | 3700 | L | EN

Chris Owings | 2B/3B | 3600 | R | 0

Hunter Dozier | 1B/3B | 3500 | R | R

Martin Maldonado | C | 3100 | R | 0

Billy Hamilton | OF | 3900 | S | 0

Jakob Junis | SP | 8000 | R | 0


Tigers

Josh Harrison | 2B | 3700 | R | N

Nick Castellanos | OF | 4500 | R | EN

Miguel Cabrera | 1B | 4100 | R | 0

Niko Goodrum | 2B/OF | 3900 | S | RHB

Jeimer Candelario | 3B | 3900 | S | RHB

Christin Stewart | OF | 4000 | L | ?

Grayson Greiner | C | 3200 | R | ?

Jordy Mercer | SS | 3400 | R | EN

Mikie Mahtook | OF | 3700 | R | ER

Spencer Turnbull | SP | 5800 | R | ?


Analysis

On a 4 game slate, everything here is a viable GPP play. I don’t love Junis or Turnbull or the offenses of KC or DET, but put them together on a 4 game slate and you have a mediocrity stew capable of some kind of production. Junis is a decent strikeout pitcher but gives up a ton of HRs and everything else. The one thing going for him is that, if you take a look at the projected DET lineup, there’s very little there that should give him any sort of a problem. Most of the players are right-handers with normal splits or switch hitters who hit better against LHP. The biggest threats against Junis, therefore, are Miggy, who has been hitting poorly and striking out a ton so far this season, Stewart, who has had 1 hit all season, and Mahtook, who doesn’t have a hit this season. Call me nuts, but I think this sets up well for Junis as a GPP play, though I can see ignoring all that handedness/splits stuff and just taking a chance against what should be a popular Junis

Turnbull is a bit trickier. He started out really strong, retiring the first 9 batters with 3 Ks before falling apart in the 4th and allowing 3 runs. He rebounded in the 5th bookending 2 Ks around a hit and a walk, to finish the day with a fine enough 5 IP with 5K and 3 ER. As I wrote about him on the 30th, he was a top prospect who was beset by injuries, but the Tigers absolutely love him. He strikes out about 1 person per inning, which held up. And he doesn’t really allow too many baserunners, which also held up. He’s going against a much weaker offense this time so, at that price, I don’t know how you don’t take a GPP chance on him. I wouldn’t mind doing a mini stack of Whit/Mondesi/O’Hearn either. Whit isn’t the best bat to take, but he is someone who produces a bunch of different ways and is the reigning ML hit leader. Mondesi is a man on fire. O’Hearn has shown his ability to hit for serious line drive power. Again, when it comes to GPPs on slates this small you can play both Turnbull AND a mini stack from KC to really separate yourself from the field.


Yankees (Paxton, LHP) vs Orioles (Cobb, RHP) - 305pm

Vegas Info - O/U - 8, NYY -192

Weather - Partly Cloudy and Warm. Temps in the mid-60s. Winds around 6mph blowing out. No big difference.

Projected Lineups (L/R/S refers to Handedness of the Batter // Splits - EN = Extreme Normal, N = Normal, 0 = No splits, R = Reverse, ER = Extreme Reverse, RHB = Switch Hitter better as a RHB. LHB = Switch Hitter better as a LHB, ? = Not enough sample size. // Pitcher information is about pitching not how he hits.)


Yankees

Brett Gardner | OF | 3900 | L | N

Aaron Judge | OF | 5400 | R | 0

Luke Voit | 1B | 4400 | R | N

Gregory Bird | 1B | 4000 | L | N

Gary Sanchez | C | 4500 | R | 0

Gleyber Torres | 2B/SS | 4500 | R | EN

DJ LeMahieu | 2B/3B | 3800 | R | N

Mike Tauchman | OF | 4100 | L | ?

Tyler Wade | OF/SS | 3800 | L | EN?

James Paxton | SP | 10800 | L | ER


Orioles

Jonathan Villar | 2B/SS | 4100 | S | 0

Dwight Smith Jr | OF | 3600 | L | EN

Trey Mancini | 1B/OF | 3900 | R | R

Renato Nunez | 1B/3B | 3800 | R | R

Rio Ruiz | 3B | 3500 | L | 0

Joey Rickard | OF | 3600 | R | N

Chris Davis | 1B | 3200 | L | N

Jesus Sucre | C | 2900 | R | ER

Richard Martin | SS | 3300 | R | 0

Alex Cobb | SP | 6900 | R | R


Analysis

Oh nelly this is going to be a slaughter of a game. The NYY -192 is huge, and I’m frankly surprised it’s not bigger. It must be a function of the fact that almost half of the Yankees starting lineup is on the IL now. Stanton, Andujar, Hicks, now Tulowitzki will all be sidelined for, in Andujar’s case, as long as the entire season possibly. That doesn’t mean that this Yankees team is going to fail to create offense. They still get a matchup against Alex Cobb, who is a terrible, terrible pitcher. He gives up a ton of hits and walks and even more HRs. And, being a reverse split pitcher going against a Yankees lineup full of RHB that hit massive HR is not going to go well for him. Here you really have to prioritize Judge, Voit, Sanchez, Torres, LeMahieu in terms of a full stack. That is where I will go, and hopefully where I will finish.

On the other side of the ball, you have James Paxton, one of the top 20 pitchers in the game, going against one of the worst offenses I’ve ever seen in a major league team. He has a K/9 of almost 12. He doesn’t give up hits or walks. He’s just an awesome, dominant lefty pitcher in that typical mold. He is also an extreme reverse splits pitcher, as I noted, so there’s very little in this O’s offense we have to worry about. You can take a one-off chance on Dwight Smith or Rio Ruiz, but this is just a great day to play Paxton and Thor if you can and fit in whatever bats you can stack.


Red Sox (Rodriguez, LHP) vs Athletics (Anderson, LHP) - 337pm

Vegas Info - O/U - 8.5, Pick ‘Em

Weather - Overcast and Warm. Temps around 60. Winds blowing out to LF around 10mph. Small boost to hitters.

Projected Lineups (L/R/S refers to Handedness of the Batter // Splits - EN = Extreme Normal, N = Normal, 0 = No splits, R = Reverse, ER = Extreme Reverse, RHB = Switch Hitter better as a RHB. LHB = Switch Hitter better as a LHB. // Pitcher information is about pitching not how he hits.)


Red Sox

Mookie Betts | OF | 5500 | R | EN

Andrew Benintendi | OF | 4800 | L | EN

JD Martinez | OF | 5100 | R | R

Xander Bogaerts | SS | 4300 | R | ER

Steve Pearce | 1B | 3900 | R | EN

Eduardo Nunez | 2B/3B | 3800 | R | 0

Rafael Devers | 3B | 4100 | L | R

Jackie Bradley, Jr | OF | 4000 | L | EN

Christian Vazquez | C | 3300 | R | 0

Eduardo Rodriguez | SP | 9000 | L | 0


A’s

Marcus Semien | SS | 3700 | R | 0

Matt Chapman | 3B | 4000 | R | 0

Stephen Piscotty | OF | 3900 | R | R

Khris Davis | OF | 4600 | R | 0

Mark Canha | 1B/OF | 3800 | R | 0

Chad Pinder | 2B/OF | 3600 | R | N

Jurickson Profar | 1B/2B | 3700 | S | 0

Ramon Laureano | OF | 3900 | R | R

Nick Hundley | C | 3300 | R | 0

Brett Anderson | SP | 6400 | L | N


Analysis

All things being equal, when you take price and everything else into account, these are my 2 favorite stacks on this slate, and it really isn’t that close. I like the Yanks, sure, but not 5 guys as much as I like in either of these lineups against both of these pitchers. Eduardo Rodriguez is an intriguing GPP option today. He can strike a bunch of people out but he’s also prone to completely blowing up. You can pay that much for him, but I would rather find the extra money on one of the real aces. Besides, this is an Oakland lineup that we can really stack, and for CHEAP, that will let us take those expensive bats that we want. If we skip Khris Davis, which I wouldn’t recommend but you can get away with, you don’t have anyone over 4k in this lineup And when they can rack up a bunch of runs quickly at low ownership, I don’t know how you don’t take that chance.

On the other side, Anderson is a pitcher who strikes out about 5 people per 9 inning and gives up a shitload of hits. While I prefer the A’s for their price, the Red Sox are first in terms of raw projection for me. They are also a lineup that really does destroy LHP, which, unfortunately for Anderson, he is. You can lock in anyone you want, but I would prioritize Betts, Martinez, Pearce and Nunez. But Peace would be someone I would play as a one-off even if I wasn’t stacking Red Sox. I LOVE him against LHP.


That’s it for the Early slate. That’s a lot of words. Halfway there. Let’s get to the main slate.


BE AWARE THE MAIN SLATE GOES OFF AT 610. THAT IS VERY WEIRD EVEN FOR LONG TIME DFS PLAYERS

HR Call of the Early Slate: Steve Pearce


The Main Slate

Blue Jays (Sanchez, RHP) vs Indians (Bauer, RHP) - 610pm

Vegas Info - O/U - 7, CLE -163

Weather - Overcast and Cool. Temps in the low 40s. Winds blowing in at 11mph. Big boost to pitchers.

Projected Lineups (L/R/S refers to Handedness of the Batter // Splits - EN = Extreme Normal, N = Normal, 0 = No splits, R = Reverse, ER = Extreme Reverse, RHB = Switch Hitter better as a RHB. LHB = Switch Hitter better as a LHB. // Pitcher information is about pitching not how he hits.)


Blue Jays

Brandon Drury | 3B | 3500 | R | 0

Billy McKinney | OF | 3700 | L | 0

Randal Grichuk | OF | 4300 | R | 0

Justin Smoak | 1B | 4100 | S | LHB

Teoscar Hernandez | OF | 4100 | R | 0

Rowdy Tellez | 1B | 3900 | L | 0

Lourdes Gurriel | 2B/SS | 3700 | R | N

Danny Jansen | C | 3800 | R | 0

Freddy Galvis | SS | 3700 | S | RHB

Aaron Sanchez | SP | 7000 | R | N


Indians

Leonys Martin | OF | 4100 | L | EN

Jose Ramirez | 3B | 5300 | S | 0

Jakob Bauers | 1B/OF | 4400 | L | N

Carlos Santana | 1B | 4500 | S | 0

Hanley Ramirez | 1B | 4300 | R | 0

Brad Miller | 1B/2B | 4200 | L | EN

Roberto Perez | C | 3400 | R | 0

Tyler Naquin | OF | 3900 | L | N

Eric Stamets | 2B/SS | 3500 | R | ?

Trevor Bauer | SP | 11300 | R | 0


Analysis

This is a pretty cut and dry game. Trevor Bauer is one of the best pitchers in the game. You can play him any time he pitches. The Blue Jays have shown some glimpses (especially yesterday) of power, but nothing that should get us off of Bauer. He might strike out 14 batters tonight. It’s not worth fading him if you play one lineup, though you can build some lineups without him in MMEs.

On the other side, Aaron Sanchez is absolutely terrible. In his last 2 seasons, he got 28 starts. In those, he had an FIP/WHIP of 5.74/1.722 in 2017 and 4.74/1.562 in 2018. He had a BB/9 of 5 both seasons. Hie H/9 was almost 10 combined. Unfortunately for him, he has a K/9 of 7 in his career. This makes him one of the best pitchers in the game to stack against. He gives up a ton of hits, a ton of walks, and doesn’t strike anyone out. Sign me up. I know the Indians Offense has looked pretty bad recently, but I still have to take a chance on the top of this lineup. 1-7, honestly since I don’t mind adding the C spot in the stack for cheap. Do not sleep on the Indians tonight.


Reds (Mahle, RHP) vs Pirates (Lyles, RHP) - 705pm

Vegas Info - O/U - 8, PIT -119

Weather - Overcast and Warm. Temps in the mid 50s at game time. Winds blowing in from LF at 8mph. Small boost to pitchers

Projected Lineups (L/R/S refers to Handedness of the Batter // Splits - EN = Extreme Normal, N = Normal, 0 = No splits, R = Reverse, ER = Extreme Reverse, RHB = Switch Hitter better as a RHB. LHB = Switch Hitter better as a LHB. // Pitcher information is about pitching not how he hits.)


Reds

Jesse Winkler | OF | 4100 | L | N

Joey Votto | 1B | 4700 | L | 0

Yasiel Puig | OF | 5000 | R | ER

Eugenio Suarez | 3B | 4700 | R | EN

Scott Schebler | OF | 4200 | L | ER

Jose Peraza | 2B/SS | 4000 | R | N

Tucker Barnhart | C | 3600 | S | RHB

Jose Iglesias | SS | 3700 | R | EN

Tyler Mahle | SP | 7900 | R | EN


Pirates

Adam Frazier | 2B | 3900 | L | EN

Starling Marte | OF | 4900 | R | R

Corey Dickerson | OF | 4100 | L | N

Josh Bell | 1B | 3900 | S | LHB

Francisco Cervelli | C | 3700 | R | 0

Jung-Ho Kang | 3B/SS | 4100 | R | ER

Melky Cabrera | OF | 3800 | S | 0

Erik Gonzalez | SS | 3700 | R | ER

Jordan Lyles | SP | 6900 | R | 0


Analysis

This is a matchup between two pitchers that don’t belong in the MLB. Mahle got 23 starts last year and had an FIP of 5.25 and a WHIP of 1.589. He gave up a ton of walks, hits, and an insane amount of HR. He struck out a bunch of people as well, making him a really deep GPP pick, but I still think he’s far, far too expensive. He also won’t be in the rotation for long, so we should enjoy stacking against him while we still can. He also showed extreme normal splits, so I would take everyone you targeted yesterday - Frazier, Marte, Dickerson, Kang, Cabrera, and Gonzalez.

On the other side, Lyles is a bad pitcher as well. He is also making his first start of the season against a team that would slip under the radar as a stack. Personally, I would love to take the Reds starting from the top and working my way down. We really don’t have to overthink this one that much, especially when you consider ownership.


Cubs (Darvish, RHP) vs Braves (Fried, LHP) - 720pm

Vegas Info - O/U - 8.5, ATL -116

Weather - Overcast and Warm. Temps around 70. Winds blowing in at 10mph. Boost to pitchers.

Projected Lineups (L/R/S refers to Handedness of the Batter // Splits - EN = Extreme Normal, N = Normal, 0 = No splits, R = Reverse, ER = Extreme Reverse, RHB = Switch Hitter better as a RHB. LHB = Switch Hitter better as a LHB. // Pitcher information is about pitching not how he hits.)


Cubs

Albert Almora | OF | 3600 | R | EN

Kris Bryant | 3B/OF | 4500 | R | EN

Anthony Rizzo | 1B | 4800 | L | N

Javier Baez | SS | 5200 | R | EN

Willson Contreras | C | 4000 | R | EN

David Bote | 2B/3B | 3800 | R | EN

Jason Heyward | OF | 3900 | L | 0

Yu Darvish | SP | 8300 | R | 0

Mark Zagunis | OF | 3900 | R | ?


Braves

Ender Inciarte | OF | 3800 | L | N

Josh Donaldson | 3B | 4400 | R | EN

Freddie Freeman | 1B | 4600 | L | EN

Ronald Acuna | OF | 4800 | R | N

Nick Markakis | OF | 3500 | L | N

Ozzie Albies | 2B/SS | 4200 | S | ERHB

Brian McCann | C | 3400 | L | N

Dansby Swanson | SS | 3600 | R | R

Max Fried | SP | 7300 | L | ?


Analysis

Yu Darvish is someone I would like to play against bad offenses, but not someone I would take against the Braves. Against the Rangers in his first start of the season, he walked SIX OF THE FIRST NINE BATTERS. That is insane. He only got through 2.2 IP. And the Braves are a much more annoying offense than the Rangers. I would expect that Darvish will keep being popular even though he may not deserve it. I see him as a GPP type play, since he has insane K upside but someone I would have a hard time trusting in either cash or for a single lineup. If you want to take a really nice contrarian Braves stack, I would be all over Inciarte, Freeman, Markakis, McCann and Albies.

Max Fried is someone who was a top 100 prospect before the 2018 season. He still hasn’t been able to find his stuff in the majors, though. While he has the potential to be a serviceable ML starter, as of right now, I would classify him as a “AAAA” starter - someone better than AAA talent, but not cut out for the bigs. As such, I will have some shares of a Cubs stack here, even though I expect them to be the most popular stack by far on the slate. If i was playing a GPP lineup, I would probably go somewhere else to separate myself, but I would lock them in cash without any doubt. They are just too dangerous against LHP. Start with Bryant and Baez and then work your way from the top. I wish Fried was 5k so we could take a chance on him, but I don’t know how you can do that at 7300. He was a high K pitcher though, so, given how this season started, you could do worse than Fried as a deep MME GPP play today. Anyone who gets to 12 K/9 at any level is worth taking a chance on.


Rangers (Volquez, RHP) vs Angels (Harvey, RHP) - 1007pm

Vegas Info - O/U - 8.5, LAA -148

Weather - Mostly Cloudy and warm. Temps around 60. Winds blowing out around 6mph. No big boost either way.

Projected Lineups (L/R/S refers to Handedness of the Batter // Splits - EN = Extreme Normal, N = Normal, 0 = No splits, R = Reverse, ER = Extreme Reverse, RHB = Switch Hitter better as a RHB. LHB = Switch Hitter better as a LHB. // Pitcher information is about pitching not how he hits.)


Rangers

Shin-Soo Choo | OF | 3900 | L | ER

Rougned Odor | 2B | 4100 | L | 0

Elvis Andrus | SS | 3900 | R | 0

Nomar Mazara | OF | 4000 | L | N

Joey Gallo | OF | 5100 | L | 0

Asdrubal Cabrera | 3B | 4000 | S | LHB

Ronald Guzman | 1B | 3700 | L | EN

Isiah Kiner-Falefa | C | 3300 | R | EN

Delino DeShields | OF | 3800 | R | 0

Edinson Volquez | SP | 6400 | R | 0


Angels

Kole Calhoun | OF | 3900 | L | N

Mike Trout | OF | 5800 | R | 0

Justin Bour | 1B | 4100 | L | EN

Andrelton Simmons | SS | 3900 | R | 0

Albert Pujols | 1B | 3600 | R | R

Zack Cozart | 3B/SS | 3900 | R | 0

Tommy La Stella | 2B/3B | 3200 | L | R

Jonathan Lucroy | C | 3400 | R | 0

Brian Goodwin | OF | 3800 | L | 0

Matt Harvey | SP | 7600 | R | N


Analysis

This one is easy!!! I saved the easiest one for last. These are 2 of the worst pitchers in the MLB. I will stack the hell out of both of these teams, and for good reason. Both of these pitchers give up a absolute ton of walks and hits and HR without striking out anyone. Seriously, freely stack both offenses.

For the Rangers, give me, in order, Gallo, Odor, Mazara, Asdrubal, Guzman, and Choo

For the Angels, give me everyone starting from Trout and wrapping back around to Calhoun last. I hate Calhoun. He just doesn’t get you enough points. Though, for 3500 against Volquez, I may have to take the chance today.


HR CALL OF THE MAIN SLATE: Joey Gallo


ThriveFantasy Picks of the Day

While this may lead to something, I am doing this because I really like Thrive and think it’s a really cool take on the DFS product. I watch and read other fantasy analysis and I checked Thrive out when they started advertising and I like it. You don’t pick a lineup, per se. You get individual player props and you have to choose an Over/Under for a set amount of points. So, for example - The prop may be “Mike Trout will hit 0.5 HRs”. If you take the “over 0.5 HRs” because you think Trout HRs, you get 110 points. If you take the “under 0.5 HRs” because most of the time people don’t hit a HR in a game, you get 90 points. And then you can have “Verlander will get 7.5 Ks” and do the same thing. You pick over or under on 10 of 20 different props and whoever has the most points at the end winds the tournament. I don’t have any sort of like promo code or anything for you to start cause, like I said, I really just like the product and I want to call attention to it if you haven’t seen it before. So let’s look at a couple of props today I would take without question:


Prop: Joey Gallo Will Get 0.5 HRs

Over - 135 pts (MY PICK)

Under - 65 pts.

This one is easy for me. He is my HR call of the day. He should be able to absolutely destroy Matt Harvey at least once. Plus, the 135/65 split makes this super enticing to take a chance on.


Prop: Matt Harvey Will Get 4.5 Ks

Over - 85 pts

Under - 115 (MY PICK)

I get an advantage for knowing that Matt Harvey is going to be terrible?? Oh hell yes. You can sign me up for this.


Prop: Asdrubal Cabrera will get 1.5 Hits + RBIs

Over - 120 pts (MY PICK)

Under - 80 pts


Driggy and Harvey were teammates with my Mets for years. Cabrera saw the shell of the curse of the creature’s ghost that Harvey has become, and knows just how awful he is against LHB. And Cabrera has started off this season hot as anything. I like this for a few of reasons- first, I like props like this where he can either get 2 hits or 2 sac flies and still come out on top. Second, all of these props work together for a nice stack. They paint the same picture - of a bad Matt Harvey unable to contain the Rangers. Make sure you aren’t taking props that tell different stories. Third, By taking three picks with high point totals, you allow yourself to take a couple of safer props down the line (if you choose to).


Alright. As was often the case for NBA, the smaller the slate, the more stuff I have space to tell you about, so I just get really far into stuff. Still, it’s all really important. So make sure you take notes, especially of all of those splits. Best of luck! Enjoy a full, fun day of baseball!

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