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DFS Stacks & Pitchers for Wednesday!


MLB DFS Stacks from CheatSheetPros!

QUICK NEWS AND NOTES: (DFS Stacks)

STACKING is a must in DFS. I prefer to stack 4-5 hitters from one team and then 2-3 from another team for a “mini stack”. You can do 4/4 or 5/3, etc. The idea of stacking is when one hitter is on base and the guy behind him hits him in then you get points for the run scored and also the RBI from the other hitter. I base my stacks on cost per player and how chalky it may or may not be. Here is what I’m looking at today.


STACKS TO CONSIDER:

PADRES VS. ERIC LAUER (16TH BULLPEN)

Eric Lauer has been a solid pitcher this year with an xFIP just over 3 and allowing a .274 average. Padres are red hot right now scoring 6.1 runs per game over the L14 days with a .255 team batting average. The main reason I like them is that Vegas only has them for 4.2 projected runs and the pitcher has been solid this year so they should hopefully be lower owned. You can get into a 5 man Padres stack for 4400-4600 per hitter which is a solid mid-value.


FAVORITE HITTER: Fernando Tatis – he is expensive but putting up massive FPPG right now, hard to see them blow up and Tatis not have a big game!

FAVORITE VALUE: Tommy Pham – he should hit leadoff so if he can get on then Tatis can hit him in and he is only 3500 which is great for a hot team with stud behind him.

CONTRARIAN GUY TO ADD TO STACK: Ha-Seong Kim – he is 2800 and projected to hit 7th and has the 3rd highest ISO vs. LHP and has put up 7 DKP or more in 4 of last 5 games.



TAMPA PAY VS. MIKE MINOR (24TH BULLPEN)

Vegas implied total is only 4.1 so this should be lower owned. Tampa is 9-1 L10 games after a loss to my Royals last night. They are putting up the most runs per game over the L14 days at 6.4 and you can get a 5 man stack for 3900-4050 which is dirt cheap pricing. Mike Minor has been up and down but has an xFIP over 4 and an ERA over 5. He is giving up a .300 avg and 1.60 whip to LHH so I would build around Meadows here.


FAVORITE HITTER: Randy Arozarena should hit leadoff and the most expensive hitter on the team. So if they blow up he is likely involved. He also has a 33 and 37 DKP game in his last 6 which is a great ceiling.

FAVORITE VALUE: Mike Zunino – only 3700 and he is boom or bust, he will hit a HR and have 3-5 RBIs or give you a goose egg. Good for GPP but bad for cash.

CONTRARIAN GUY TO ADD TO STACK: Brett Phillips – 2600 is almost min pricing and projected to bat 9th but has 12, 7, 0, 15, 0 and 20 DKP in recent games and Randy Arozarena will knock him in if he gets on.

QUICK HITTERS: OTHER CHEAP PUNT STACKS TO CONSIDER:

CLEVELAND VS. JOSE URENA (28TH BULLPEN)

You can get into the best option of this stack for around 4,000 per hitter for a 5 man stack. Jose Urenda is allowing a .330 average to LHH but has been dominant to RHH with a .215 average allowed. His xFIP is over 4 so I don’t mind targeting him even though CLE only has 3.5 runs per game over the L14. Bullpen is also horrible behind Urena. The projected 1-4 and 6 hitters can all hit from the left side of the plate.


DETROIT TIGERS VS. TRISTON MCKENZIE (3RD BULLPEN)

You can stack up 5 Tigers for only 3540 per hitter which is pushing almost a min price average stack. DET sucks, but they have been known to blow up and have a few good games. They are at least putting up 4.0 runs per game over the L14 days which is higher than CLE and hitting .272 as a team which is good for 7th best in the MLB. No, I’m not excited about this but it’s GPP dart worthy and cheap! McKenzie has staggering numbers to me. He has a K9 rate of 12.6 which is “elite” but his xFIP is 5.53 which is “horrible” but allowing a .204 batting average. His last two starts he has been rocked giving up 6 ER in only 3.1 IP to a mediocre MIN team and the start prior he allowed 5 ER in 4.1 IP to a horrible SEA team. In those two start combined he allowed 8 walks. In 3 of his last 5 starts he has allowed 5+ ERs so why not give the little Tiggers are chance? Yes, I meant to write Tiggers.



PITCHING ADVICE:


TREVOR BAUER – If you can afford him he is one of my favorite pitchers on the slate coming off 37 and 39 DKP games he has 13.1 IP over his last two starts without allowing an ER and 21 strikeouts. He is a safe play for a 2x floor and 3x the most likely outcome with a 4x ceiling if he has a great game.


MARCUS STROMAN – He is 9200 if you need to save some money and has a great matchup. He faced COL in COL on 4/18 and went 8.0 IP, 1 ER and 5 Ks for 27.6 DKP and that is pushing 3x his current salary. He is coming off 21.3 DKP in his last start going 6.0 IP with 2 ER and 8Ks vs. MIA. COL is 3-18 on the road scoring only 2.71 runs per game so he has a good shot at the “W” today and COL holding the 9th highest K rate over that span. Matchup is good and his BVP is only 41 Abs but allowing a .171 average.


JOHNNY CUETO – I want to get down to 7500 and under for the next couple and look for some values. Cueto is trending up as he has made 3 starts since his return and went from -5 DKPs, to +5 DPS to +18 DKPS going from 3.0, to 4.1 to 5.0 IP and allowing 5, then 2 and then 1 ER. ARI has the highest K% right now and scoring only 2.5 runs per game over the L14 and 1-9 in their L10 games. Cueto couldn’t ask for a better matchup and if he can get to 20-22 DKPs that is pushing 3x value.


GERMAN MARQUEZ – He is the definitely of GPP as he can go from -17 which he did against SFG on May 4th or his 31.55 DKPs against ARI in his most recent start. His last 3 starts he has 32, 19 and 18 DKPs and priced at only 6700 3x looks like an easy path but could also blow up your lineup! His ERA is 4.82 but his xFIP is 3.88 with a BABIP of .336 meaning he has been unlucky with the balls in play so better things are coming. Love the price tag on him. NYM are scoring only 3.3 runs per game over the L14 and sitting ice cold right now, 3rd highest K% and batting .199 as a team over the L14. Matchup is good.


ALEK MANOAH – He is the cheapest pitcher on DK at only 4800 but may only get 2-3 innings. He has tossed 2.0, 3.0 and 2.0 IP and has looked great in spring training. I don’t know if they are building up his arm or treating him as an opener. In those 7.0 IP he has not allowed an ER and only 1 hit while striking out 15 batters. Worth a punt.



Here is a lineup that shell that I like tonight. Taking 5 Padres hitters with a stud pitcher and a value pitcher. $3,466 is plenty of money left over to fill in the gaps. I typically punt catcher and find someone for $2,000 or near min and then go with two better OF'ers.


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