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NFL Fantasy Breakdown for Week 14!


NFL Daily Fantasy Breakdown from CheatSheetPros!


STACKING FOR GPPS:

The stacking concept is simple. Most GPP winning lineups will have a team QB and usually at least 2 pass catchers and one from the opposing team. So that is a good start for building your lineups. Find your QB + 2 pass catchers + 1 run back player from the other team and fill in from there.


STACKS WE LIKE FOR THIS WEEK:


LA CHARGERS: Justin Herbert + Jalen Guyton/Jared Cook/Austin Ekeler

Justin Herbert is the hottest QB right now putting up 29.3, 24.7 and 38.3 DKP over the last 3 weeks. But he did just likely lose Keenan Allen and Mike Williams for this week so if you want to stack him then Jalen Guyton will likely be the default WR-1 at only 3400 on DK and 5200 on FD. He did manage 18.9 DKP last week which is almost 6x his salary. Jared Cook sits in that 3-5 targets per game range but without KA and MW he could jump into that 5-8 target range at a near min price tag on DK.


CINCY BENGALS: Joe Burrow + Ja’Marr Chase / Tee Higgins

San Frank ranks 6th in total “D” allowing only 319 yards per game and they have an even better rush “D” allowing only 67 yards per game over the last 3 which ranks #1 in the NFL. But over that same last 3 game span they are allowing the 26th most passing yards per game. What else? They also rank 27th in “DEEP PASSES”. Joe Burrow is cheap enough at 6000 on DK to give us 3x-5x. I mean he is coming off 3x last week and in Week 8 put up a 5x game so he has the ability to make it happen. Tee Higgins is red hot right now putting up 31.8 and 26.4 DKP over the last two weeks. He had a whopping 14 targets last week! Now remember the Ja’Marr Chase touchdown? Well if you didn’t see the game you won’t know what I’m talking about – but he beat the defender and Burrow put it in the bread basket and Chase flipped it up in the air and it was picked off. Would have been a long TD for Chase that turned into a turnover so we didn’t the touchdown the catch or the yardage. If he would of caught that everyone would be riding Chase into this week as a top stack option.


TAMPA BAY: Tom Brady + Chris Godwin / Rob Gronkowski

Should we ever doubt Tom Brady? He had 51 pass attempts last week tossing for 368 and 4 touchdowns for 32.62 DKPs. One positive thing is that Tom Brady or Fournette will have a big game. I’m hoping this is a little lower owned since the matchup against the Bills looks scary. Tampa Bay at home is putting up 38.4 PPG while only 26.4 on the road so Tom Brady sleeping in his own bed is a good thing for us. Buffalo is scoring 31 PPG on the road and only 25 at home so this points to possible success for both teams and possible shootout. Vegas opened this total at 53 which I was blown away by but it’s up to 53.5 so apparently people are betting the over.



PLAYERS WE LIKE THIS WEEK:


JOSH JACOBS

I was able to attend the KC/DEN game last week for the Sunday Night contest and KC was getting crushed by JaVonte Williams. KC allowing 4.7 yards per attempt for the season which ranks 29th in the NFL. Their “D” did get better for a couple games but last week @ Home they gave up 154 rushing yards to the Broncos. Now Drake is on the IR and Josh Jacobs is the main RB who should get plenty of attempts vs. this powerful KC team. Over the last two weeks Josh Jacobs has 35 attempts for 139 yards and 2 touchdowns. He also has 11 grabs on 13 targets putting up 24 and 19.2 DKPs. Priced at only 6200 on DK that is 3x-4x with a good matchup on deck.



LEONARD FOURNETTE

See the breakdown for Tampa Bay stack listed above and the reason I like Fournette if you are NOT stacking Brady is that Buffalo has given up 177 rushing yards per game over the last 3 which is highest in the NFL. Even if he doesn’t blow up on the ground he is heavily involved in the passing game with no AB. He has 8, 8, 6 and 9 targets over the last 4 weeks and 7, 7, 6 and 8 catches giving you a solid floor. With 22.2 and 47.1 DKP over the last 2 games he is great for cash or GPP in this high total game.



HUNTER RENFROW

Still priced well at 6100 on DK and 6700 on FD he has over 17.5 DKPs in 4 of the last 5 games and coming off 22.2 and 24.6 DKP games putting him at that 3.5x-4x value range.


TAYSOM HILL

I like Hill as a stand-alone QB so he falls into the “players we like” portion of this article. He is only 5600 on DK which is dirt cheap and 7700 on FD. To give you an example of how I look at players I would look at the 5600 and determine what I need to get 4x value so something like 5.6K x 4x = 22.4 DKPs. Now can he realistically hit that and can he get to 5x? Last week as the starting QB he had 27.7 DKPs so now we are pushing that 5x range and he has a great matchup. NYJ are giving up 4.5 yards per carry and the 30th most rushing yards per game on the season. They are also allowing the 31st most rushing yards per game over the last 3 games at a whopping 167!



D’ONTA FOREMAN / DONTRELL HILLIARD

Jax is a middle of the road “D” who has been getting killed on the ground over the last 3 games. They are allowing 149 rushing yards per game which ranks 27th during that time span. These aren’t premium RBs but Titans are struggling and need someone to carry the ball. They are priced at 5100 and 5300 on DK so they are cheap enough to plug in and 5900 and 7000 on FD. Hilliard is coming off 22.3 and 16.2 DKP so giving you 4x and 3x over the last two games and Foreman is coming off only 14.2 and 5.0 DKP. Foreman did get 19 carries against NE and put up 109 yards but was held out of the endzone. If he would of scored once then we are looking at 20+ DKPs and a great game. Hilliard is the preferred pass catching RB so he is better on PPR sites like DK. He did get 12 carries last week and put up 131 yards and got into the end zone. In Week 11 against HOU he had 10 TARGETS, yes 10 FREAKING TARGETS and caught 8 balls for 47 yards! He is a great GPP target with upside but both RBs are in play this week.




JULIO JONES

They designated him to return from the IR so that means they have a 21 day window to activate him. With AJ Brown on the IR and Julio practicing he could very well play in this game and should get peppered with targets. He hasn’t been great this year but he could pop in this game. Don’t like him in cash but would take a shot in GPPs at his low price tag!


RUSSELL GAGE

At 5700 on DK and 6200 on FD he is in play as the clear WR-1 in this weak Falcons “O”. Matchup is tough but he has 26 and 18.2 DKP the last two weeks and 12 – 7 – 8 targets of the last 3 weeks to lead the team.



ANTONIO GIBSON

DAL is allowing 4.5 yards per rush attempt (23rd) on the season and giving up 141 rushing yards per game over the last 3. Antonio Gibson is finally getting fed the rock and has put up 21+ DKPs in 3 of the last 4 games. In his last 4 games he has 23, 29, 19 and 24 carries and put up 88, 111, 95 and 64 rushing yards adding in 5 & 7 receptions over the last 2 weeks.



JAVONTE WILLIAMS

I love Williams if Melvin Gordin sits but Melvin was a limited participant we may be back to the RB timeshare. Williams had a whopping 9 targets in the passing game last week and rushed 23 times putting up 102 rushing yards and 76 receiving yards with a touchdown. Love him if Melvin sits but still viable even if Melvin plays.


CHRIS GODWIN / GRONKOWSKI

With Antonio Brown up to his usual antics he definitely won’t be playing anytime soon. With the “fake” covid card who knows if they will let him see the field again in the regular season. Chris Godwin is a PPR monster and caught 15 of 17 balls last week for 143 yards putting up 33.2 DKPs without a TD. Gronkowski is the clear other option as he has 21.8 and 22.3 DKPs over the last 2 weeks with 8-9-8 targets over the last 3 weeks.




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Thanks for reading & good luck!

Haze