NFL Week 6 Prize Picks & Player Props from CheatSheetPros!
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Let’s dive in and find some plays!
RUSHING YARD PROPS:
PATRICK MAHOMES OVER 18.5 YARDS
FTN on the radio they said this opened at 20.5 and was down to 16.5 on Fanduel Sportsbook but 18.5 is what is showing on Prize Picks.
With 31, 61, 26 and 45 in the last 4 games and a game total of 57.5 I'm going over!
DERRICK HENRY OVER 126.5 YARDS
This is a large number but he has been over this number in 3 straight games and 4 of the last 5 games.
KC is allowing 5.2 yards per carry which is one of the worst rush defenses in the NFL.
ALVIN KAMARA OVER 75.5 YARDS
His rush attempts have been solid with 16, 26 and 24 over the last 3 games.
He has been over this number 3 of 5 weeks and one of those weeks he was barely under.
SEA is not a good rush defenese (see screen shot below) they are allowing 140.8 rushing yards per game (30th).
RECEIVING YARD PROPS:
CORDARELLE PATTERSON OVER 36.5 YARDS
My favorite play on the slate!
He has 9, 6, 7 and 7 targets in the last 4 games with 60, 82, 82 and 58 yards!
MIA allowing the 29th most passing yards per game (see screen shot below) and let's not forget they are coming off the London game and decided not to take the "bye" week after the London game so jet lag anyone???? ATL also coming off a bye so they are rested!
STERLING SHEPARD OVER 59.5 YARDS
Shepard missed Week 4 and Week 5 but came back with a bang in Week 6 with 10 catches on 14 targets for 76 yards!
With all the other injuries and Q tags he is likely to see a heavy volume of targets again this week.
FTN had some stat on the radio today when I was driving that his cover corner was giving up a QBR of over 140.
ANTONIO BROWN OVER 69.5 YARDS
AB has quietly been the top WR in this Bucs offense the last two weeks with 24.3 and 34.4 DKPs. The prior week he was only 1.2 points from being the top WR.
BEARS are a good defense but I don't think anyone will keep Brady from his massive games.
FANTASY POINT PROPS:
DARREL WILLIAMS OVER 13 FANTASY POINTS
Last week he filled in nicely for CEH putting up 23.9 DKPs.
This number feels low for a game with a 57.5 total and a pass catching RB with PPR scoring.
MIKE GESICKI OVER 11.0 FANTASY POINTS
Middle of the road matchup against a rested Falcons team.
Originally was going to post his yardage over of 49.5 but I'm leaning to the Fantasy Points as 11.0 seems low. I like taking the FP in PPR scoring when they are getting several targets and catches. I mean look at Week 3 where he had 10 grabs, that's almost 11 fantasy points in catches alone!
DERRICK HENRY OVER 22 FANTASY POINTS
If you don't like the rushing yard prop then I'd lean to the fantasy point prop for Henry as he has one of the best matchups on the slate!
He has scored 3 touchdowns in 3 of the last 5 games and that is 6x3=18 points alone and he only needs to hit 22? 100 yards and 2 touchdowns = 22 points.
We can safely say he has a floor of around 3 fantasy points for receiption + yardage so we need 19 on the ground. He can get there with 130 yards + 1 touchdown or 70 yards and 2 touchdowns. All of those outcomes seam very feasible!
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Thanks for reading & good luck!
Haze