MLB Plays & Stats from CheatSheetPros!
PITCHERS TO CONSIDER:
FAVORITES: (These will be my 3 highest owned pitchers for the main slate!)
MARTIN PEREZ (6600) – How often can you find a 4-0 pitcher with a 3.41 ERA for only $6,600 on DK? Rare! His last start he faced a tough Houston lineup and went 8.0 innings with 0 ER and 7 Ks.
CHRIS PADDAG (9200) – Paddag has been fire this year coming out of Spring Training and supports a 1.91 ERA with a 0.70 whip. He has only allowed 2 ER in his last 13.0 innings with 14 Ks.
GERRIT COLE (10700) – My favorite of the high priced studs his underlying numbers are superb. I was even able to pull a trade for him in a season long league but lost Kluber to a broken arm so it’s a wash for me. Cole had a bad run @ TEX giving up 8 ER and 9 hits in only 4.1 innings but his last two starts he has 14.0 innings, only 2 ER and a whopping 21 strikeouts! In those two starts he also put up 28 and 39 DK points.
OTHER PITCHERS that will be in my GPP player pool:
MARCUS STROMAN (8000) – Terrible outing @LAA but that is a tough team that is striking out at a microscopic number. His prior 3 outings he has 19.0 innings given up only 1 ER and 18 strikeouts.
VINCE VELASQUEZ (8800) – Last 4 starts he has gone 20.1 innings, 6 ER and 25Ks.
COLE HAMELS (9000) – Last 4 starts he has gone 25.2 innings, 6 ERs and 28 Ks.
HIGH PRICED STUDS & MY THOUGHTS:
MAX SCHERZER (10000) – Would you believe the top SP off the board in season long leagues is 1-4 with a 4.08 ERA? People freak out to early. His starts have went from a low of 11 DK points to 34 so he is always in play for us. In his last 3 starts he has given up 3, 2 and 6 ERs with 8, 10 and 9 Ks.
JACOB DEGROM (10200) – His outings this year have been as low as -2 DK points and as high as 45 DK points so he has to be in the GPP player pool. He is coming off a great game going 7.0 with 0 ER and 6K but it was vs. a weak CIN lineup. Prior to that start he has given up 5, 3 and 6 ER which isn’t good but his strikeout upside keeps him in play. Spending $10.2k on a guy with a 3.82 ERA and 2-3 record is tough to swallow but it’s DeGrom so were doing it!
BLAKE SNELL – So this is the guy that I’m most excited to talk about! If you look at him from the outside he has a 4.31 ERA with a 2-3 record and people are like WOAH WTF! However, let’s take out his first outing of the year as that is shaking off the rust and then he has 2 outings vs. KC (where I’m from) and they always end up eating up good pitchers and they lit Kluber up also this year. So take away those two KC starts and he has 3 games in a row with 30+ DK points and a high of 44 DK points going 19.0 innings, 1 ER and 33 strikeouts. Big bounce back coming!
STACKS & PITCHERS TO TARGET AGAINST:
Sandy Alcantara – 16 ERs in 21.1 innings. Gobble Gobble!
Kevin Gausman – Started off solid but this he has given up 11 ER in his last 12 innings.
Jakob Junis – Two good recent starts only giving up 3 ERs in 11.1 innings but prior to that he has 3 outings giving up 14 ER in 15.2 innings. The two most recent starts were both vs. same team (TB). Houston is red hot right now and KC has a bottom 6 bullpen.
*Sneaky* - MIL vs. Max Scherzer – This would be a sneaky GPP stack that I would consider. Reason is people will be using MadMax so they don’t want to “stack against their pitcher” but Scherzer has been giving up runs – 3, 2, 6, 3, and 4 in his last 5 starts and Nationals have the 2nd worst bullpen right now on the article I wrote today. The bullpen is allowing a .270 team batting average, xFIP of 4.92, ERA of 6.18 and a low 23.2% strikeout rate. If they get to Max early and get him out of the game they could pile up some runs!
Boston vs. John Means – Means is either going to get pulled after he gets crushed OR when he gets to that 80-90 pitch mark. He has only thrown 91 and 92 pitches for a high and doesn’t have over 5.0 innings in any start. Now how is the bullpen? Well Bob it is fucking horrendous! They rank dead last in our rankings we associate for our breakdown article. So league average HR/9 rate is 1.26 for all the bullpens and they have a huge 2.17! League average strikeout rate is 24% and they have a 21.3% rate. Batting average allowed is .237 across all bullpens – can I stop saying “all bullpens”, you get the idea, I’m comparing the average numbers across the league vs. current teams. So batting average is .237 and they allow a .279. Add in the ERA of 6.11 with an xFIP just shy of 5 at 4.98!
*Sneaky* - SDP vs. DeGrom – NYM have the 26th ranked bullpen of the 30. Low 23.3% strikeout rate, .251 batting average allowed, ERA of 5.11 and xFIP of 4.95. I’m also factoring in that outside of his recent start vs. a weak CIN team he has only lasted 4.0, 5.0 and 4.0 innings and given up 5, 3 and 6 ERs. If DeGrom gives up 3-4 and then the bullpen takes over this could be 6-8 and low owned just as stated with Scherzer.
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