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MLB Pitching Breakdown for May 14th Main Slate from CheatSheetPros!



MLB Plays & Stats from CheatSheetPros!

PITCHERS TO CONSIDER:

CHRIS SALE (10800) –

Last Start: His last 2 starts have both been phenominal. 41 DK points and 33.9 DK points. Both of those starts were on the road and he amassed 24 Ks in only 14.0 innings and only allowed 1 ER total!

FPPG Range: 0.80 – 41 DK points – ultimate GPP range, lol!

Swinging Strike %: 14.1% which is 4th for the 12 game main slate tonight!

Matchup: Facing COL outside of COL is always a better matchup. COL is also striking out 25.7% of the time vs. LHP. COL also has a low 71.5% wRC+ outside of Coors and a wOBa that is 57 points lower and batting average that is 42 points lower. Solid matchup!

Cliff Notes & Thoughts: Sale has been on fire in his last 2 starts pushing 4x value. You can use for Cash or GPP with confidence.


CHRIS PADDACK (10000) –

Last Start: 40 DK points going 7.2 innings with 0 ER and 11 strikeouts – Wow!

FPPG Range: 15 – 40 DK points in last 5.

Swinging Strike %: 14.2% which is 3rd for the 12 game main slate tonight!

Matchup: Matchup is tough vs. LAD who is only striking out 19.5% of the time vs. RHP and holding a wRC+ of around 119.

Cliff Notes & Thoughts: He is putting up elite numbers so I don’t mind the matchup. He has allowed a total wOBA of only .178 with a 0.69 whip and .130 batting average.


CALEB SMITH (9500) –

Last Start: 28.2 DK points going 6.2 innings with 2 ER and 11 Ks vs. a tough Cubs team.

FPPG Range: 25.1 – 30 DK points in his last 5, solid floor!

Swinging Strike %: 18.2% which is 1st for the 12 game main slate tonight!

Matchup: Facing a TB team with a slate high 30.4% vs. LHP is going to be a boom opportunity for Caleb Smith who has a massive swinging strike rate.

Cliff Notes & Thoughts: TB has a drop vs. LHP this year of 18 points in team batting average down to (.238), 23 point drop in wOBA down to (.309) and 16 point drop in wRC+ down to (95.6). Tampa has been ice cold scoring 3.8 runs per game over the last week. Most of the projected starting hitters are averaging less than 4 FPPG over the last 7 and last 14 days. He is likely my favorite pitcher for the price tag! Cash + GPP viable!


WADE MILEY (7900) –

Last Start: 25 DK points going 6.0 / 2 ER / 7 Ks.

FPPG Range: 2.9 – 25.1 in his last 6 starts.

Swinging Strike %: 9.7%

Matchup: Facing DET who has a 27.6% strikeout rate vs. PH and scoring only 3.3 runs per game over the last 7 days and 3.5 on the season is considered a great matchup.

Cliff Notes & Thoughts: Miley should lock down the “W” with the red hot Houston offense right now and facing a weak DET team gives him a great floor for GPP or cash.


DANNY DUFFY (7700) –

Last Start: 19 DK points @ HOU (tough matchup) going 6.2 / 2 ER and 5 Ks.

FPPG Range: Only 3 starts, 2.5 points in the first one and then 19.3 and 19.0 in last 2.

Swinging Strike %: 11.9%

Matchup: Facing TEX they are striking out 28.2% of the time vs. LHP and that is the 2nd highest team strikeout rate behind Caleb Smiths matchup.

Cliff Notes & Thoughts: Duffy is a GPP only option as a pivot off Miley if the ownership is going to be too high. TEX is scoring 4.0 runs per per game over the last 7 which is way under their 5.6 runs per game on the year. Choo, Mazara, Gallo, Odor and Cabrera are all averaging less than 4 FPPG over the last week so they are cold right now. Duffy also has the 2nd lowest team batting average vs. PH and facing one of the highest team strikeout rates on the slate (2nd).


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