MLB Plays & Stats from CheatSheetPros!
Recap: Monster hits yesterday with LAA scoring 13 runs and Houston putting up 8. We also hit our best bet of the day with NYY run line as they won 4-0. Let’s look at some plays for today!
STACKS & PITCHERS TO TARGET AGAINST:
Oakland vs. Dylan Covey – Coming in with the highest stack score of 86.8 today they are facing off against Covey. Covey hasn’t been terrible only giving up a total of 3 ER in his last two starts but prior to that he gave up 8 ER in 2 starts. Covey has a 2.20 ERA at home but today he is on the road where he supports a 6.43 ERA and 1.57 whip. He is still only allowing a .232 average. Oakland has a wRC+ of 118.5 at home and 107.1 vs. RHP and scoring 5.0 runs per game the last week hitting .262. 8-2 in their last 10 games they are on our stack list today.
Houston vs. Mike Minor – The projected top 6 hitters all have a grade over 105 which is amazing. Mike Minor has been solid this year but Houston crushed LHP. Houston has a wRC+ of 102.8 vs. RHP but vs. LHP they fly up to 129.7, batting average jumps from .254 to .277, strikeout rate is also solid dropping from 19.1% down to only 13.4% vs. LHP. Wow! After they loss yesterday they are going to be eager to take one back and have a solid 21-6 record this year vs. LHP. BVP numbers are solid hitting .317 vs. Minor in 82 team Abs and a low 16% strikeout rate. TEX has been solid with a 31-17 home record but vs. LHP (as they face Wade Miley) they are only 14-16 with an 82.8 wRC+ and low .239 batting average. Cleary LHP is their struggling point as they also support the highest strikeout rate of 28.9% vs. LHP. BVP shows TEX is only hitting .238 vs. Miley through 84 Abs.
Boston vs. Ross Stripling – BoSox have been on fire winning 5 straight games while LAD has lost 4 straight games. Chris Sale takes the mound and although he has a 4.27 ERA at home his xFIP shows it should be closer to 2.78. Also supporting a solid 14.8 K9 rate and low 1.14 whip we are going to roll with Boston today. Stripling has been decent this year but has allowed 8 ER over his last 9 innings of work. Boston has a wRC+ of 126.1 vs. RHP hitting a whopping .305 and a low strikeout rate of 21%. 4 of the projected starting lineup for Boston have grades over 116 which is monsterous!
Honorable Mention: Cincy vs. Freeland – Freeland has given up 12 ER in his last 7.0 innings and has 3 starts in the negative point range on DK. In his last 8.2 innings (3 starts) he has allowed 15 ER and only put up 5 Ks. Eeeek!
CHEAP PITCHERS TO CONSIDER:
Brad Keller (6000) – He has a solid home split with an ERA of 3.82 (vs. 4.81) and wOBA allowed of .268 (vs. .345) and whip of 1.17 (vs. 1.59) and batting average allowed of .191 (vs. .281). Solid punt option at nearly min price on DK.
Zac Gallen (6900) – He has been unlucky with a monster BABIP of .355 this year but still solid stats for the few innings he has been on the mound. In 12.0 innings this year he has 16 Ks with 6 ERs. Worth a GPP flier if you need to save some cash!
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