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NFL DFS Breakdown & Lineup Sheels for Week 17!


NFL Daily Fantasy Breakdown from CheatSheetPros!


QUICK NEWS AND NOTES:

Nothing new to report this week except for keeping an eye on our Twitter for player props! I've been addicted to doing player prop parlays recently so I've been posting several of those since I'm off work this week. Hit an NFL 9 legger for +3200 last week!


STACKING FOR GPPS:

The stacking concept is simple. Most GPP winning lineups will have a team QB and usually at least 2 pass catchers and one from the opposing team. So that is a good start for building your lineups. Find your QB + 2 pass catchers + 1 run back player from the other team and fill in from there.


PLAYERS WE LIKE THIS WEEK:


WIDE RECEIVERS:


ANTONIO BROWN (DK: 6100 / FD: 8500)

10 catches last week for 101 yards on 15 targets for 23.1 DKPs last week. The next highest person targeted was Cameron Brate with 4. He is the lone WR-1 at this time and will get a ton of targets. His price tag is dirt cheap on DK as he was pushing 4x last week without a touchdown. AB moves all over the formation and there are no NYJ CBs that can lock him down. He has an “excellent” graded matchup on PFF no matter which CB lines up on him. Solid play!


A.J. BROWN (DK: 7200 / FD: 7500)

16 targets last week and just like Antonio Brown he was the clear WR-1 gobbling up all the targets. He finished last week with an 11 catch – 145 yard – 1 touchdown performance for 34.5 DK points which was pushing 5x value! Wow!


TYREEK HILL (DK: 8300 / FD: 8200)

BYRON PRINGLE (DK: 4100 / FD: 5600)

The ownership might be down on Tyreek last week after him not getting much work. He will be needed against Cincy so don’t expect him to sit around and not do anything. I also don’t mind Pringle after his performance last week. He went 6 grabs on 7 targets for 75 yards and 2 touchdowns putting up 25.5 DKPs which is over 6x value. He is a cheap WR you can plug into a KC stack or use as a one-off guy.


DEONTE HARRIS (DK: 3000 / FD: 5100)

He is MIN priced on DK so hitting value is easy if he clears covid protocol. His suspension was lifted and he should play this week. I mean 3x value is 9 DKPs and 15 DKPs is a whopping 5x value. He last played in W13 and had 8 targets and ended with a 4 catch 96 yard line with a touchdown for 19.9 DKPs.


AMOM-RA ST. BROWN (DK: 6000 / FD: 6900)

At a price of 6000 on DK we need to be able to at least his 4x so that is 24 points. Over the last 4 weeks he has 26, 23.5, 15.3 and 24.8 DKPs so he is consistently hitting that mark. He also has 11, 11, 12 and 12 targets over the last 4 weeks putting up 9, 8, 8 and 10 catches along with 3 touchdowns. Lions might have found their WR-1.


RUNNING BACKS:


DARREL WILLIAMS (DK: 5800 / FD: 6200)

CEH is out this week so Williams takes over the lead role and he can be used heavily in the passing game. Refer back to Week 10 where he had 11 carries for 43 yards and 9 catches for another 101 yards and a touchdown putting up 32.4 DKPs.


JOE MIXON (DK: 7500 / FD: 8500)

For 7500 we need to push for 4x value and that is 30 DKPs. In 2 of the last 5 games he has 31.5 and 35.3 DKPs so the ceiling is there for us to use him. KC has been great against the pass recently but struggling against the run. They are allowing a 4.7 yards per rushing attempt which ranks 27th in the NFL. I attended the game where Denver came to Kansas City and JaVonte Williams crushed us. He ran 23 times for 102 rushing yards and had 6 grabs for another 76 yards and a touchdown putting up 32.8 DKPs. Joe Mixon will get 18-20 carries and he even took 28 carries in Week 12 against PIT so the volume will be there. He also has upside in the passing game if KC can get out to a big lead. Mixon had a 6 for 70 last week.


JAVONTE WILLIAMS (DK: 6400 / FD: 6100)

MELVIN GORDON (DK: 6200 / FD: 6100)

Broncos are in a prime spot this week going up against the LA Chargers who allow a 4.7 yards per carry (27th). I mean, last week Rex Burkhead ran all over them with 22 carries for 149 yards and 2 touchdowns! One of these DEN RBs should have a great game if not both. Over the last 4 games Williams has a high of 32.8 DKPs so he would be my preferred option.


SONY MICHEL (DK: 5800 / FD: 7100)

Darrell Henderson is on the IR so that means the Rams will continue to lean on Michel for their playoff run. He has massive volume with 27, 18, 20 and 24 carries over the last 4 games and 131, 92, 79 and 121 yards. BAL has been a good run defense but 90 yards and a touchdown is almost 3x and that is a floor for him.


ELIJAH MITCHELL (DK: 6000 / FD: 7800)

He cleared concussion protocol last week but a knee irritation kept him sidelined. If he can go this week we know SF can lean on him out of the gate as they have shown in the past. His last 3 played games were W13, W12 and W10 and he had 22, 27 and 27 carries for 66, 133 and 91 yards with a high of 30.8 DKPs which is 5x value his current salary. HOU is allowing 4.7 yards per carry and 141.3 rushing yards per game (30th) so this is a prime spot.


CHASE EDMONDS (DK: 5700 / FD: 6500)

Love him if James Conner is out or limited this week but will still have a few shares due to his work in the passing game. Last week he had 16 carries out of the back field and 9 targets in the passing game putting up 26.7 DKPs. Even if Conner continues to take all the goal line carries they should be down in this game (as the line moved from +2 to +5 toward Dallas) and his 8 catches on 9 targets for 71 yards is highly valuable on PPR sites like DK. If Conner is out and he gets the rushing carries that is also worthwhile.


TIGHT ENDS:


MARK ANDREWS (DK: 7400 / FD: 8700)

I typically choose a punt TE but I can’t help but see Mark Andrews flashing on Red Zone every week. He has 29.5, 38.6 and 31.5 DKPs over the last 3 games so that is 4x, 5x and 4x value. Those 3 games combine for 29 catches on 34 targets for 376 yards and 4 touchdowns. His price has climbed from 5900 – 6400 – 7000 and now 7400. Wow!


ZACH ERTZ (DK: 5200 / FD: 5500)

Dallas D has been stellar as of late but they are so-so vs the TE spot. In a game we think ARI will be playing from behind we have to look at their pass catchers and Ertz is one of them. He has 14 catches on 24 targets over the last two weeks but has not scored so only 13.4 DKPs. That is still 2.5x value on catches and yardage alone. He did have a 8 grab for 88 yards and 2 touchdowns in W11 against Seattle for 28.8 DKPs.


GERALD EVERETT (DK: 4100 / FD: 5200)

He has 16.8, 10 and 10.8 DKP over the last 3 weeks giving you around 2.5-3x value which is pretty decent for a lower priced TE.


LINEUP SHELLS - TO GET YOU STARTED!


STACK #1 - KANSAS CITY CHIEFS


STACK #2 - BUFFALO BILLS

STACK #3 - ARIZONA CARDINALS




TARGET CHART - LEADERS FROM LAST WEEK:


FANTASY POINT - DVP:


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Thanks for reading & good luck!

Haze